The Libyan re-make
9/6/20 11:51![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
The Libyan theatre of war today very much resembles Syria 5 years ago, when a direct external intervention abruptly changed the balance of powers in a proxy war, triggering the indirect involvement of other interested parties.
As we know, in late 2015 Putin decided to directly intervene in that war. That happened at a time when, by the words of Russian foreign minister lavrov, the Assad regime had not more than two weeks remaining. Damascus was being shelled from its Guta suburb, Daesh was in control of half of Syria, the armed opposition supported by Turkey, the US and a few Arab states, was controlling Aleppo, the Idlib province, large portions of the Hawran and Hama provinces, as well as the port of Latakia.
It was a time when Iran, which whether overtly or secretly, was supporting Assad, finally realised it was losing the war. So they called the Russians for help. Since president Obama didn't follow on his own threat (remember, the Red Line that Assad had apparently crossed), no one stood in the way of the Russian invasion. Putin himself only announced the end of the "main military actions" once he had put 2/3 of Syria's territory under control.
( Read more... )
As we know, in late 2015 Putin decided to directly intervene in that war. That happened at a time when, by the words of Russian foreign minister lavrov, the Assad regime had not more than two weeks remaining. Damascus was being shelled from its Guta suburb, Daesh was in control of half of Syria, the armed opposition supported by Turkey, the US and a few Arab states, was controlling Aleppo, the Idlib province, large portions of the Hawran and Hama provinces, as well as the port of Latakia.
It was a time when Iran, which whether overtly or secretly, was supporting Assad, finally realised it was losing the war. So they called the Russians for help. Since president Obama didn't follow on his own threat (remember, the Red Line that Assad had apparently crossed), no one stood in the way of the Russian invasion. Putin himself only announced the end of the "main military actions" once he had put 2/3 of Syria's territory under control.
( Read more... )