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[personal profile] fridi
In the current issue of Newsweek, Dan Perry provides a developed opinion piece on revanchism, "the desire to acquire or reacquire land", and its current place in international conflicts, The Astounding Gluttony of Giants:

https://www.newsweek.com/astounding-gluttony-giants-1731380

"Russian dictator Vladimir Putin has unleashed hell upon Ukraine, and on his own information-deprived people, in a bid to enlarge the world's largest country, which already stretches across 11 time zones.

Closely watching is China's Xi Jinping, who rules the world's most populous country with 1.4 billion people, has destroyed freedom in Hong Kong (violating a commitment to preserve "one country, two systems"), and is sorely tempted to gobble up Taiwan.

To the west, it would be a wonder if India and Pakistan, two nuclear powers which are the second and fifth most populous on Earth respectively, don't eventually go to war over Kashmir, a province that would barely move the needle for either by any metric.

Is nothing ever enough? Is it worth sacrificing a single life to add to these countries' already huge numbers?"


Read more... )
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[personal profile] tcpip
The experience of last year [1, 2, 3] suggested quite strongly in favour of elimination as a strategy for SARS-Cov-2, rather than a suppression strategy. After the experiences of the original and alpha strains of SARS-Cov-2, it should be quite clear by the numbers that "go hard, go fast" is a successful approach. It means restricting movement and interaction between people (the virus doesn't move, people do), putting up strong fences to demarcate an area and block the potential entry of the infected.

The results speak for themselves; from Australian states like Victoria, which remarkably reached elimination from high numbers, Western Australia, and Tasmania, to countries like New Zealand, Taiwan, and China. The strategy of trying to achieve zero cases was a proven success, with the three aforementioned countries having the lowest case numbers per capita in the developed world. As a grim irony to those who recommended that a policy of suppression in fear of the economic damage that an elimination strategy would cause, the numbers do not lie; those countries and regions that adopted an elimination strategy were able to recover quickly and more completely and there suffered less economic damage than those which did not [4].
Read more... )
[personal profile] jazzyjj
Hi everyone. I've been rather quiet around here, but a neighbor of mine recently recommended I check out the Greater Good Science Center. So I signed up for an account with them, and among other things found the following article which seems to contain other links. Herein lie some good suggestions for talking with those aspiring young people about these interesting times in which we live. https://greatergood.berkeley.edu/article/item/how_to_talk_with_your_kids_about_donald_trump . These young people need to be reassured that they're not going to be shipped back to where they came from, if they are black or another race. Additionally, they need to be told that violence and hatred are wrong, no matter who the perpetrators are. Read and enjoy.
[identity profile] tcpip.livejournal.com
Fake News
Winston Churchill famously quipped: "democracy is the worst form of government except all those other forms that have been tried from time to time" [1]. Which of course does raise the question are there other forms of government which could be better than democracy? Perhaps there be a particular implementation of democracy which works better? Contextually, what are the trends and technological influences and challenges? Careful consideration of these questions leads to a three-part evaluation; (a) the sense of res publica, (b) the relationship between democracy and informed decision-making, and (c) deliberative isocracy in the age of the Internet, which introduces the possibility of an informed and participatory public sphere.

Read more... )

Reposted at the usual place.
[identity profile] tcpip.livejournal.com
I have recently written a short article on issues that I've been considering for quite a while; that is the relationship between the model of perfect competition (and resultant 'free market' political orientation that results), and it difference between the model and actual markets.

The assumption that free markets generate perfect competition is probably the worst intellectual fallacy of our modern age, but I am not convinced by anti-market ideology that many opponents have. Rather I am leaning towards the notion of interventions from without that encourage the conditions that perfect competition is meant to have.

A couple of comments; firstly, this is only a sketch, making a statement of general orientation, and is quite incomplete. Suggesting more difficult edge cases is encouraged. Secondly, I am thinking of expanding the discussion on externalities to identify the preferred activity of cooperative public versus competitive enterprises in a matrix with planning or market mechanisms depending on the complexity of production, where highly complex goods and services are more orientated towards market mechanism and low complexity goods and services towards planning models.
[identity profile] airiefairie.livejournal.com
...So why not jump on the bandwagon, I thought? Now, here is an excellent and very scary article:

The rise of American authoritarianism

"A niche group of political scientists may have uncovered what's driving Donald Trump's ascent. What they found has implications that go well beyond 2016."

Most notable part in my opinion:

"Perhaps the GOP obstructionism for the past seven years can be blamed for voter anger at Washington. The parallels to the rise of Hitler can be gleaned from Trump's plain-talk appeal. Like Hitler, he repeats a simplistic message of ultra-nationalism which resonates with xenophobic Americans. He blames the Mexicans, the Chinese, and other foreign influences for lost jobs and prosperity just as Hitler blamed the Jews and played on Germany's long history of anti-Semitism. [Grimm's Fairy Tales contains anti-Semitic stories dating back to AD 1350]."

Of course there was going to be a Hitler parallel. Where without him. However, it seems to me that the difference with the Hitler situation is that Trump is basically an opportunist while Hitler was a man who had a long-term plan. And although things have indeed greatly eroded in America for the middle class and the working poor, it (still) isn't anywhere near what was going on in Germany after WW1.

Trump is not the cause - he is a symptom of the perfect storm )
[identity profile] tcpip.livejournal.com
An interview I conducted a couple of days ago and have just posted.


Breaking news has been released that the world powers have declared a "cessation of hostilities", reports of some 11.5% of population have been killed or injured, with over six million displaced persons and refugees.

There are over two and half million refugees in Turkey. Many have become 'stateless persons'. They are unable to renew their Syrian passports which expire as they are seeking asylum.

One such person is Qassem Al Salamat, in Istanbul. This is his story.

Read more... )
[identity profile] nairiporter.livejournal.com
I recently came across this piece that purports to summarise several specific good economic examples from various parts of the world. The question is, could we imagine a society where all those models are combined, to get a so called "super nation"? If no, what would the obstacles be?

In a nutshell... )
[identity profile] ddstory.livejournal.com
Interesting column here at the NYT about Scott Walker. Particularly this bit:

"Walker’s cart has a way of getting ahead of Walker’s horse. Only after several flubbed interviews earlier this year were there reports that he was taking extra time to bone up on world affairs. This was supposed to be a comfort to us, but what would really be reassuring is a candidate who had pursued that mastery already, out of honest curiosity rather than last-minute need."

While the article itself is nothing remarkable, certainly not in telling us anything special or new about one of the GOP candidates, it's more notable that when you sift through the comments below, you'd begin to notice that there's virtually little to zero meaningful support for Walker the politician, Walker the presidential candidate, or just Walker the human being if you like.

Read more... )
[identity profile] mahnmut.livejournal.com
A Net Assessment of the World

"...The United States is, by far, the world's most powerful nation. That does not mean that the United States can — or has an interest to — solve the problems of the world, contain the forces that are at work or stand in front of those forces and compel them to stop. Even the toughest guy in the bar can't take on the entire bar and win."

Might look like sweeping general analysis, but an interesting one, nevertheless. The following part sums up most of it, I think:

"After every systemic war, there is an illusion that the victorious coalition will continue to be cohesive and govern as effectively as it fought. After the Napoleonic Wars, the Congress of Vienna sought to meld the alliance against France into an entity that could manage the peace. After World War I, the Allies (absent the United States) created the League of Nations. After World War II, it was the United Nations. After the Cold War ended, it was assumed that the United Nations, NATO, IMF, World Bank and other multinational institutions could manage the global system. In each case, the victorious powers sought to use wartime alliance structures to manage the post-war world. In each case, they failed, because the thing that bound them together — the enemy — no longer existed. Therefore, the institutions became powerless and the illusion of unity dissolved."

Some valid points, and some points of contention in there )
[identity profile] peristaltor.livejournal.com
Early last month, I made a prediction: Based on my long-held opinion that instability and increases in fuel prices causes people to increase their driving, while decreasing or at least stable fuel prices causes people to decrease said driving, I predicted that

The next per capita miles driven graph will show
a reduction in miles driven from the "8.87% from peak."


Now that over a month has passed, it's time to head over to D. Short's website and view the last month's numbers. Drum roll, please. . . . )
[identity profile] peristaltor.livejournal.com
There's a new Rolling Stone article coming out soon that shows how corrupted our political process has become, but worse, shows how it is so bad that I doubt anyone will be able to do a damned thing about it.

Okay, remember how I keep harping about how banks create money? You go to a bank for a loan, and they create money and give it to you along with a repayment schedule. The money they create goes out into the world to be spent by you, and you return it in time with a little interest. As long as banks lend, there is enough money to move business along. Easy peasy.

Where should people seeking speculative investments go if they wanted money to invest in projects too long-term or risky for commercial banks? Investment banks. In an investment bank, individuals deposit their own money to be used in such speculation; no money is created with the issue of a loan. In a growing economy, such endeavors often prove more lucrative. Riskier, but lucrative. Again, easy peasy.

Then along come those tools Gramm, Leach and Bliley with a bill that gave the store away and returned our country to its pre-1929 bubblish hellscape. )

Hat tip to [livejournal.com profile] solarbird for the article link and heads up.
[identity profile] gunslnger.livejournal.com
Picking up Demos’s Gauntlet

If you are going to argue against libertarian philosophy, you should know what it is before you end up making straw man arguments. Demos (a left-wing think tank) has apparently decided to focus some energy on libertarians, so this reply to them is a helpful start to all people who want to make arguments against libertarian thought. There are especially certain people in this forum who don't seem to understand some of these points.

These two points in particular are consistently gotten wrong on here:

We care deeply about the poor, the helpless, and the marginalized. In fact, the forebears of libertarianism practically invented it. Many attacks on libertarians fall short because they imply that libertarians are libertarians because it hurts the poor and the marginalized while helping the rich and the establishment. These charges are laughable.


This one tends to happen because people want to demonize their opponent when they don't have a good argument themselves.

We are not “market fundamentalists,” a term many have used to describe us. We are “strong market presumptionists,” some stronger than others. We presume that markets will supply goods and services more efficiently than governments, create more innovation, engender more harmony, and be more congruent with what people actually want...Governments are very good at providing things that only a select few actually want, whether it is statues of dictators or roads to nowhere, and then making everyone else pay for them.


This may seem like a mere terminology distinction, but it is a difference that matters. The first inaccurate term is vague and allows for all kinds of knee-jerk reactions. Most libertarians are not extremists, just like other philosophies.

There are other points in the article, feel free to respond to any of them, not just the two I highlighted. If you want more personal opinion, read the article; everything it says I could have said myself.
[identity profile] peristaltor.livejournal.com
Recently I read an interesting LJ rundown on the various problems with the new technologies that have flooded the markets with new oil-ish and gaseous energy supplies. Long-time readers are probably familiar with my obsession with energy issues, as well as my more recent diving into economic and monetary thing-a-ma-bobs. Here's a recap for those that have wondered why the two seemingly divergent topics have occupied my reading and mulling: They aren't divergent at all. )
[identity profile] rick-day.livejournal.com
Continuing the theme of posting about subjects way over my head, I read this article from Rolling Stone, that expands on the Libor scandal of interest rate fixing. The article claims that perhaps ALL commodity exchanges are controlled by a small handful of individuals who have discovered a nice loophole: self-reporting can be obscenely profitable!
What's the deal here? )
So what happened to that massive anti-trust suit brought against Libor? A funny thing, actually...
It got lawyered to death! )
Isolated incident, this Libor? pft..you wish! )
OK so just how problematic is this in other benchmark setting commodities?
99% of us are going to die broke... )

I'm just not sure what to make of this. Theft at a level so obvious that like atmosphere, everyone should see it, but it is too common to sense. One one hand, taking down this system could bring a massive collapse of the financial markets, and the worth of currency. On the other hand, it sounds like a house of cards anyway, built on fraud like a Ponzi, destined to collapse anyway, only slower.

What should we do? How would you fix this problem. Isn't this just an Illuminati style financial cabal without the reptilians?
[identity profile] stewstewstewdio.livejournal.com

Pure Energy

Almost every way we make electricity today, except for the emerging renewables and nuclear, puts out CO2. And so, what we're going to have to do at a global scale is create a new system. And so, we need energy miracles. - Bill Gates

I am not one to beat the environmental drum, although I do agree that something should be done to halt or slow our path to global resource depletion. I think any progress that can be made in this area should be pursued. During the Reagan era, amazingly, there was a cooperative effort between the governments of the United States and Russia to create a viable fusion engine that would be able to generate electrical power on a global scale.

This post will increasingly delve into this concept as it goes on, so if you find yourself being baffled or bored, I would encourage you to skip to the conclusion. If you find it fascinating and encouraging as I did, you might want to read the brief article and watch the presentation video to understand it better. I got this from my daughter who posted this to my Google+ “wall”.

We are all familiar with the energy generated by the sun. Instead of the sun just burning hydrogen, which would have depleted the hydrogen of the sun in a few million years, the sun uses fusion. Simply put, subatomic particles are manipulated under extreme heat and pressure to convert hydrogen to helium. This process generates the energy of the sun and is the most resource efficient process known to modern science to generate energy of any kind.

In the 50’s, it was discovered that fusion could be achieved using a plasma field. Regrettably, at the time, the technology demanded enormous expense and resources in order to generate this field. Reagan and Gorbachev initiated the Tokamaks project during a summit that would create this plasma field efficiently. However, the fusion engine would have been 30 meters tall, weighed 23,000 tons, had 1 million parts and would cost $20 billion to produce. Its production on a global scale would have been prohibitive for the near future.

Lockheed Martin is developing a fusion engine that would fit on the back of a flatbed truck. It generates no hydrocarbons and is capable of an immediate shutdown in case of a stability breach of any kind. It is also incapable of being produced as a weapon. As opposed to the Tokamaks engine, it utilizes electromagnetic energy to contain the plasma field instead of a free flowing field like the Tokamaks engine. It is also viable for mass production and would be small enough for space exploration and colonization. Heat is created by radio frequency, so the resource to energy ratio would be more efficient.

Conclusion – Despite individual ranting that we live in a police state that uses its resources to horribly oppress its citizens in the United States, there is a fair amount of good that is coming out of the government. Yes, there are laws that dampen our ability to: be heavily armed, filch other people’s talents through intellectual property theft, allow predatory business entities to damage our citizens, allow the movements of those who pose a danger to others or themselves, mandate to a pregnant woman how she handles a parasitic organism within her own body, insist that our society provide our health care only because we refuse to provide it ourselves to the best of our ability

The government genuinely tries to work toward the best interest of all the people of this nation. Our government doesn't try to solve all our problems. It allows its citizens to overcome their own barriers because that's the essence of true liberty. This is one shining example of our chosen leaders moving our country and civilization forward in a manner that can’t be done on a smaller scale.

[identity profile] dv8nation.livejournal.com
http://www.cracked.com/blog/4-situations-that-make-white-people-feel-racist/

For all their dicks jokes, I actually find that Cracked can offer up some very smart articles that have something worth saying a lot more than you'd think for a humor site. This article is a pretty prime example. Now I'm sure just the title of the article is going to be enough to get some people here worked up. And I think that's the point.

No one here is going to say racism is a good thing. It's basically as prime an example of concentrated human stupidity as you could ever ask for. The problem is that even in trying to deal with it people tend to be people and by that I mean idiots. Rather than dealing with problem like mature adults so that we can improve our society for everyone we get bogged down in pretty arguments, make mountains out of the everyday missteps that happen between people everywhere and, worst of all in my book, spend way too much time thinking that we can read other people's minds based on scant to nonsensical evidence.

Language is the worst offender in that last one. If I had a dollar for every time I've seen people try and deconstruct another person's simple comments  that carry no more meaning that just what was said into some manifesto they could go on a screed against I'd have been able to to pay off my student loans before I even left college.

But to bring things around I'll let the article sum up my thoughts on language: You should never let a word control you, intimidate you, or make you uncomfortable, and that applies to people of all races. Intent is where insult lies, and hate. Not in language.
[identity profile] stewstewstewdio.livejournal.com

WSJ Taxes

The laws are stacked for the wealthy. - Jesse Jackson

In line with this month’s topic, I have included a post with a graph(ic), once again purloined from Google+. I know it doesn’t follow the format for a chart or graph, but it does have pictures and numbers and stuff.

As could probably be expected, Rupert Murdoch’s Wall Street Journal published an article explaining the implications of the Fiscal Cliff deal on the wealthy. The saying goes that a picture is worth a thousand words. The graphic in this post actually came from the article that was put in the Journal.

It is fun to note the forlorn looks on the faces of the oppressed wealthy taxpayers in the graphic; as well as noting that the one group in the graphic that doesn’t have a tax increase is characterized as a retired black couple. Also, investment income is thrown into the mix to make the examples more Romneyfied dignified.

Along with the technical details of the tax package, I found it interesting that some of the provisions were listed as highly complicated, as if the wealthy wouldn’t be able to afford the $59.95 for Turbo Tax or some other tax preparation software. It would probably surprise me even more if the wealthy didn’t have a tax accountant do their taxes and tax dodge planning for them.

The article makes a point of noting that all working people will be paying an additional 2% in taxes for Social Security because the tax holiday package was allowed to expire as intended at inception. However, it failed to mention that most wage earners with six figure salaries will be exceeding the Social Security cap, and therefore will be less affected by this tax than most people.

This article may be tl;dr for many, but I think the graphic in the article merited a post all by itself.

[identity profile] htpcl.livejournal.com

Greetings, my favestest selfish hedonistic Westerners tolerant and civilized peeps from the better part of the world! See, today's Google picture for the Google.bg version commemorates 150 years since the birth of Aleko Konstantinov, a Bulgarian journalist and writer who invented the Bay Ganyo character. Bay Ganyo was the epitome of Balkanness: a retrograde, brutish, Oriental, uncultured, provincial simpleton who was just beginning to discover the benefits of Western democracy in the years after the national liberation from Ottoman rule. The cultural shock at the time was huge, and it gave rise to such phenomena in our society as "The Phoney Civilization". Read: a blind adherence to Western-looking cultural fashions and automatic parroting of civilizational examples without necessarily understanding them; and all that, in the conditions of a stagnated, culturally oppressed society dominated by a foreign imperial power that was totally alien in all respects. After the Liberation, this gave rise to a sudden period of chaotic free-for-all Wild-Wild-West style thug-o-cracy which eventually claimed the lives of many of its own intellectuals, Aleko included. In a sense, Aleko was killed by his own creation Bay Ganyo, in an ironic Frankenstein sort of way.

But I digress. Straight to the point: now, returning to our modern time, we Balkan people and East Europeans in more general, are experiencing another shock... The shock from the clash between our long-kept dream of an exemplary Western society that we had strived to emulate for such a long time during the years of Soviet rule - and the reality of a bitter, alienated, intolerant West that's gradually rearing its ugly face from underneath that idealized image. And you might understand that many of us are now again stuck at a crossroads, wondering where do we go from here, now that our bright idol has been so badly tarnished.

Case in point: the anti-immigration moods in Western Europe )
[identity profile] devil-ad-vocate.livejournal.com
Three days before 20-year-old Adam Lanza killed his mother, then opened fire on a classroom full of Connecticut kindergartners, my 13-year-old son Michael (name changed) missed his bus because he was wearing the wrong color pants. "I can wear these pants," he said, his tone increasingly belligerent, the black-hole pupils of his eyes swallowing the blue irises. "They are navy blue," I told him. "Your school's dress code says black or khaki pants only."
"They told me I could wear these," he insisted. "You're a stupid bitch. I can wear whatever pants I want to. This is America. I have rights!"
"You can't wear whatever pants you want to," I said, my tone affable, reasonable. "And you definitely cannot call me a stupid bitch. You're grounded from electronics for the rest of the day. Now get in the car, and I will take you to school."
I live with a son who is mentally ill. I love my son. But he terrifies me.
I am sharing this story because I am Adam Lanza's mother. I am Dylan Klebold's and Eric Harris's mother. I am Jason Holmes's mother. I am Jared Loughner's mother. I am Seung-Hui Cho's mother. And these boys—and their mothers—need help. In the wake of another horrific national tragedy, it's easy to talk about guns. But it's time to talk about mental illness.
----
We always hear the same questions - and accusations - when a tragedy like this happens. We wonder why no one saw it coming. If you've ever had a family member in your house who frightens you (and I have), you can empathize with the woman who wrote this article.

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