The New Reality
30/11/10 01:43![[identity profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/openid.png)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-11871641
So the upcoming generation of Chinese leaders don't really see much value in North Korea and are open to a united Korea under Seoul's banner. It seems the also expect the current ruling powers to collapse within a few years of "Dear Leader"s death and that NK in general is a pain in the rear.
Now all of this makes for some interesting ramifications. A united Korea would put Seoul in the nuclear club. Even with SK being a firm US ally this would still be a bit of a win for China as they'd have a nation much more open to negotiation to deal with rather than a cult of personality state built on sand.
Of course, if Chinese history is anything to go by the old guard will hold on to power with all their might. But the clock will keep on ticking anyway so a change in China's stance on NK is only a matter of time.
Thoughts?
So the upcoming generation of Chinese leaders don't really see much value in North Korea and are open to a united Korea under Seoul's banner. It seems the also expect the current ruling powers to collapse within a few years of "Dear Leader"s death and that NK in general is a pain in the rear.
Now all of this makes for some interesting ramifications. A united Korea would put Seoul in the nuclear club. Even with SK being a firm US ally this would still be a bit of a win for China as they'd have a nation much more open to negotiation to deal with rather than a cult of personality state built on sand.
Of course, if Chinese history is anything to go by the old guard will hold on to power with all their might. But the clock will keep on ticking anyway so a change in China's stance on NK is only a matter of time.
Thoughts?