[identity profile] underlankers.livejournal.com posting in [community profile] talkpolitics
Evidently people in the United States have learned nothing from the last time a bunch of butthurt reactionaries tried to ragequit the United States after losing an election they made a lousy job of contesting:



http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-20301477#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&ns_source=PublicRSS20-sa

If these people were agitating for 'peaceful' secession (which is still unconstitutional due to a Supreme Court ruling, not that these morons realize that) it'd be one thing, but US politics confirms a simple rule: those most likely to try to leave the USA altogether because an election doesn't work as they want it to work are likely to try to make this stick by a war if they don't get everything they want when they want it. To which I have this to say:

Bring the A-Game and it won't do you any good. The United States is not Afghanistan, it's not Lebanon. You're trying to leave a huge area that has almost no areas suited for intensive guerrilla warfare, with some of the most dense satellite covers on the planet, and you expect that it'd actually work? It's gonna suck to be you.

On other notes of dumbasses, Israel managed to off the latest leader of Hamas, though since this is like Al-Qaeda's No. 2 or the Dread Pirate Roberts I'm sure there'll be another in a few hours:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-20328579

People have yet to learn that the only thing using military power against terrorists do is make the remaining ones more numerous and bolder. There is no permanent cure to terrorism because there will always be suicidal maniacs willing to strap bombs to themselves and blow people up for whatever lethal, murderous cause is the flavor of the Zeitgeist. Of course people in the USA won't accept that for any time to come because people in the USA assume they're somehow able to overturn mere reality by clapping their hands really hard and believing really intently.

In today's news of the blindingly obvious to everyone, the UN has decided it failed to protect civilians in Sri Lanka during its civil war. I think that this article at least should get a "Well, really now? Is water wet?" reaction from everybody, but this being the Internet you never know:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-20331872

Haiti now faces another food crisis, this one from Hurricane Sandy, and is another Caribbean country devastated by the superstorm when it was still a relatively 'minor' hurricane hitting the islands here. This is not going to end well, I don't think. Poor Haiti, so far from God and so close to the United States and the Atlantic Hurricane season conga line:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-20320487

And last but not least, Europe is now seeing more riots on the Greek model by people who've seen austerity and decided they do not like what they see:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-20322096

I'm not sure what the rioters think should be done other than what's going on now, as it's pretty obvious that a status quo leading to both the proposed changes and this kind of backlash is well, not working. If this is to steal more high-quality TVs then it's probably not going to be very good for either the rioters or the countries affected. The odds that any of this does a thing in the world to resolve the EU's economic issues are somewhere around the odds that Kristen Stewart can master basic facial expressions in acting.



So there you have it, a broad poutpourri of the news of the present. Much of this is a repeat of what has gone before, leading to a simple question here: why is it that so much of what's already been seen keeps repeating itself? Haiti having another food crisis is easy to foresee, its infrastructure was already poor enough before the big earthquake and then damaged worse and the storm making it worse is no help. The European riots are a "Do you actually have an alternative? If not, stop that shit you're not helping" thing to me, and Israel playing the USA against Hamas's Al-Qaeda is a 'ho-hum' thing. I do, however, find it heavily ironic that people in the United States are once again so butthurt over losing an election they actually want to walk out. Then again, this is a country where people genuinely think the Devil made dinosaurs to offend the faith of Christians, so yeah. Ultimately I think what these stories show also is that some issues have deep roots, and that where multiple crises in a short time happen, the roots are unaffected and events repeat themselves, while elsewhere people learn nothing from the past and damn themselves to repeat it.

(no subject)

Date: 14/11/12 21:31 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] luzribeiro.livejournal.com
Clearly, the end of the world is nigh.

(no subject)

Date: 14/11/12 22:06 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] telemann.livejournal.com
And last but not least, Europe is now seeing more riots on the Greek model

I tell you what, the EU is rock solid currency wise. The conversion rate is killing me when I have to send payments overseas :/

(no subject)

Date: 14/11/12 22:10 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] telemann.livejournal.com
The British currency, even stronger.

(no subject)

Date: 15/11/12 03:03 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] anfalicious.livejournal.com
Living in Australia right now is pretty sweet if you're not in the tourist trade. The AUD bought 43 US cents 6 years ago, now it's a buck 'o five (freedom costs a buck o ffiiiiivvveee).

(no subject)

Date: 15/11/12 03:30 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] telemann.livejournal.com
Sorry, I've no dealings in the Outback country.

(no subject)

Date: 15/11/12 22:41 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] anfalicious.livejournal.com
You couldn't afford to now with your pesos :P

(no subject)

Date: 15/11/12 17:00 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sophia-sadek.livejournal.com
For some reason, "riots on the Greek model" brings to mind the story of Sodom.

(no subject)

Date: 15/11/12 19:03 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] telemann.livejournal.com
See what hanging around your Mormon friends does?

(no subject)

Date: 17/11/12 20:53 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sophia-sadek.livejournal.com
When you live in San Francisco, the Greek model takes on biblical proportions.

(no subject)

Date: 17/11/12 20:54 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] telemann.livejournal.com
Caesar salads are great out there too, I like taco salads best though.

(no subject)

Date: 17/11/12 21:05 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sophia-sadek.livejournal.com
Once one is used to the good food in San Francisco, food in other places seems sadly lacking. A business trip to the Midwest always leaves me disappointed.

(no subject)

Date: 17/11/12 21:16 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] telemann.livejournal.com
Yeah, NYC has spoiled me. In a lot of ways. Food is just fantastic here with choices and qualities. And mixologists with their unusual cocktails and wizardry. NOM NOM NOM

(no subject)

Date: 17/11/12 21:18 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sophia-sadek.livejournal.com
How are we gonna keep em down on the farm once they've visited New York and San Francisco?

(no subject)

Date: 17/11/12 21:20 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] telemann.livejournal.com
Good business opportunity, ship great Dim Sum to Iowa !

(no subject)

Date: 15/11/12 17:15 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] notmrgarrison.livejournal.com
http://www.latimes.com/business/money/la-fi-mo-eurozone-recession-20121115,0,80628.story

(no subject)

Date: 14/11/12 22:50 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] oportet.livejournal.com
This may be my inner-conspiracy-theorist talking, but I think signing one of those petitions would guarantee you a lifelong spot on some kind of list that you're better off not being on.

(no subject)

Date: 15/11/12 16:58 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sophia-sadek.livejournal.com
That is not conspiracy theory. That is law enforcement 101.

(no subject)

Date: 15/11/12 03:06 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] anfalicious.livejournal.com
The European protest, to me, are saying "hey, destroying civil society because the bankers said that's how to save the economy isn't working (http://www.cnbc.com/id/49358756/Austerity_Upon_Austerity_Doesn_t_Work_Lagarde)". Perhaps bailing out the banks was the wrong idea, the credit markets froze anyway and if the banks had failed there would be a lot less homeless people around.

(no subject)

Date: 15/11/12 05:48 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mikeyxw.livejournal.com
Even with the planned austerity measures, they'll be running deficits of 4% - 6% of GDP. If you need to borrow that much, you can't exactly tell the bankers to go pound sand. If they did, they'd be cut off from more credit and have to live within their means starting now. Austerity might be tough and it certainly is causing a tough time for many, but Spain and Greece are way better off with their current austerity programs than if they had to trim another 4% - 6% of GDP from their budgets.

(no subject)

Date: 15/11/12 22:42 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] anfalicious.livejournal.com
Is it worth trimming 4% of your budget if it cuts 8% from your revenue? Because that's what's happening.

(no subject)

Date: 16/11/12 05:39 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mikeyxw.livejournal.com
If there's no other choice, then yes.

I know classical Keynesian economics isn't exactly in vogue here, but it would indicate that if you run a 4% deficit, your economy will grow by more than 4%. It depends on the savings rate, but somewhere in the 8% range wouldn't be out of the ordinary. So, if that 8% relies on deficit spending, it will of course need to go. If your economy relies on running deficits to produce growth, you're headed for a blowup. The sooner it happens, the less severe the blowup. Greece wouldn't have been in such a bad spot if they did this a decade ago... and continuing down this course is not going to help the younger folks in Greece in the long term, it's making their situation worse.

(no subject)

Date: 16/11/12 06:37 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] anfalicious.livejournal.com
Getting some Greeks to actually pay taxes would have been far more effective than austerity. If the economy relies on deficit spending to produce growth then yes, you will be in trouble. The issue has been that during the good times many countries around the world were running deficits, which means they can't use counter cyclical measures to get out of a recession. It's one of the unfortunate facts of the last 30 years is that neo-liberalism has been in vogue during massive periods of growth so no one (well, not many) had money put aside for a rainy day. Now they have to borrow money because the rainy day is here. Yes, you can't borrow in perpetuity, but borrowing money in the biggest financial meltdown in 80 years is precisely the time to be borrowing. Would it be worth running up 20% GDP in debt to get through the crisis if it meant you came out of the crisis with a GDP 20% bigger? Damn right it would, you just have to actually go ahead and pay that back then and not let the neo-libs come in and sell the country to pay it off now so you can cut taxes.

The last 30 years of reality has absolutely and undeniably refuted neo-liberal economics. Keynesianism, as Keynes saw it had some problems (as learnt in the stagflation crises of the 70s), but it is quite clear that counter-cyclical government intervention in the economy makes for a more stable economy with greater prosperity for a greater number of people.

(no subject)

Date: 16/11/12 08:59 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mikeyxw.livejournal.com
Getting some Greeks to pay taxes would have been another form of austerity really, a 4% increase in taxes, even if it's through reducing tax evasion, will have a similar effect as a 4% reduction in spending. Also, given that the finance minister "lost" a list of 2,000 likely tax cheats and the government went after a newspaper editor for publishing said list, I'm not thinking this is a realistic course of action.

Not sure I agree with your definition of neo-liberal economics. I'd describe it as "have your cake and eat it too" economics. People like government services, they also like low taxes. For a while, you can have both. This is not an economic theory, it's politics.

(no subject)

Date: 16/11/12 21:51 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] anfalicious.livejournal.com
a 4% increase in taxes, even if it's through reducing tax evasion, will have a similar effect as a 4% reduction in spending.

Except that it would mean more services in tact for society, less lamborghinis for rich guys. Are you suggesting a lamborghini for a rich guy is the same as health care for kids?

There are things about the Greek system that were ridiculous and had to change; a retirement age of 53 on 80% of your wage for one, and you're probably right, there wasn't the political will to get rid of the corruption in the system. Maybe with austerity there will be. The Greeks need to clean up their house, no doubt, but austerity is not a way of fixing your economy, even if it may fix your political system. But it's that whole shock doctrine thing, I doubt that the solutions will end up being better than the problem.

(no subject)

Date: 15/11/12 15:34 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] a-new-machine.livejournal.com
Note that SCOTUS ruled that unilateral secession would be unconstitutional. Dicta suggests that maybe, the Union could be broken by the consensus of the states, or by revolution. So, there is a possibility (maybe) for a peaceful secession.

(no subject)

Date: 15/11/12 16:58 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sophia-sadek.livejournal.com
One of the biggest arguments for not voting is that voting commits the voter to respecting the outcome of the election. If these people do not wish to abide by the results of the election, they should simply not have voted in the first place. Failing to respect the outcome of the election puts them in the category of contract violators.

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