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talkpoliticsWith most of the primaries out of the way (although Massachusetts is still waiting, as is New Hampshire and a handful of others), how does everyone see this election shaking out? How invested are you in the results, either as an American or as an overseas observer? If you're local, are you volunteering at all to help any candidates? What do you think represents the most important race or races in the current cycle?
Also, this should be interesting:
[Poll #1611420]
Also, this should be interesting:
[Poll #1611420]
(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 12:14 (UTC)They are more likely to gain control of the House than the Senate, of course, given the # of their Senate candidates who are obviously insane. I'm not being silly there, by the way. Nominating batshit loonies like Ms. Angle will cost them what otherwise would've been solid pickups.
I am a Democrat and will vote, as pointless as it is, as Anthony Weiner doesn't exactly need my help getting reelected.
I am incredibly invested in hoping to minimize Democratic losses. Not that the party's record is without flaw, but the fact that electorate is set to reward the GOP this fall despite a) their open lack of any kind of substantive, forward-thinking agenda; and b) the John Birch-ification of the party since Obama became President.
(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 13:35 (UTC)Prediction: Republicans will gain 10-12 seats in the house, a big loss, and will gain 0-9 seats in the senate, about average.
(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 14:27 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 14:30 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 14:34 (UTC)Senate 2010
+ 7 GOP
House 2010
+ 32 GOP
Governor 2010
+ 6-7 GOP
(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 14:35 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 14:49 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 15:42 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 15:43 (UTC)I use irony quotes around the word 'control' because with the current strategic commitment to obstruction and lock-step voting by the out-party, slim majorities might as well be even splits.
Moderate and expected Republican gains at the midterm will be touted as an inspired public mandate, and such obstruction will increase to new levels. I expect a record breaking ratio of calls for cloture. I hedge my bets by saying 'ratio', because I think that the total mass of legislation will be less. Lacking a national disaster, no legislation of significance will get passed in the next 2 years that isn't hopelessly compromised.
(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 15:43 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 16:01 (UTC)If these candidates can move towards the middle, the movement will probably help on balance.
(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 16:09 (UTC)Stupid fucking DINO shat all over our state senate.
(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 16:10 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 16:11 (UTC)317 incumbents won their primaries
7 did not
(well, those were the numbers as of her airing when I saw this, I believe this was before the McCain primary, so it might now be
318 / 8 As McCain won his primary but the Alaskan primary went to the newbie.
Even so, anti-incumbent my ass.
(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 16:12 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 16:13 (UTC)especially if they listen to FOX who's been pushing propoganda about just how ebil de dems be
(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 16:14 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 16:17 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 16:23 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 16:29 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 16:51 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 16:52 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 16:52 (UTC)So, in other words, be like John McCain?
(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 16:52 (UTC)How do you figure?
(no subject)
Date: 27/8/10 16:52 (UTC)