It's happening

[fridi]

Today’s escalation in Iran marks a sharp shift from months of tension to active military engagement. Today morning, coordinated air and missile strikes by the US and Israel struck multiple sites inside Iran, including military infrastructure and strategic targets in Tehran, in what officials described as a “pre-emptive” operation to degrade Iran’s missile capabilities and nuclear ambitions. Tehran responded with widespread rocket and missile launches targeting Israeli territory and US military bases across the Gulf region, including in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and the UAE. Explosions were reported in major Iranian cities, prompting civilian evacuations and closures of schools and airports, while both sides continue to reinforce forces in adjacent theaters.
https://news.cgtn.com/news/2026-02-28/Israel-U-S-military-actions-in-Iran-further-destabilize-chaotic-world-1L8cSqCDKSc/p.html

International reactions have been sharply divided along strategic lines. Western governments like the UK, France, and Germany condemned Iranian attacks on neighboring states and called for a return to negotiation, stressing civilian protection and de-escalation. At the UN, Secretary-General António Guterres called the use of force by all parties “undermining international peace and security” and demanded an immediate ceasefire. In contrast, Russia condemned the US-Israeli strikes as “unprovoked aggression” and expressed readiness to support diplomatic avenues while warning of humanitarian and security risks. Other regional actors such as Turkey, Egypt, and Gulf states urged restraint, emphasizing regional stability and the catastrophic consequences of further escalation.
https://www.newswire.lk/2026/02/28/statement-by-un-secretary-general-on-iran/

Public sentiment inside Iran and among dissident communities reflects fractured responses. Some Iranians reportedly reacted with cautious optimism to the strikes against regime infrastructure, interpreting them as weakening state control, while state media framed the attacks as violations of sovereignty and mobilized nationalist sentiment. Exiled opposition figures have characterized international military action as a form of “humanitarian intervention”, though these claims are contested and exist alongside significant fears of widespread civilian harm. Internally, the government’s prior suppression of protests and information blackouts has limited transparent reporting, complicating assessments of broader societal reactions.
https://www.reddit.com/r/NewIran/comments/1rgvquo/iranians_on_the_rooftop_reacting_with_happiness/

Looking ahead, the likeliest direction points toward intensification and fragmentation rather than rapid resolution. Diplomatic mechanisms such as IAEA technical talks scheduled for early March may persist, but with active hostilities underway, negotiations face near-term setbacks. Military escalation risks drawing in additional regional actors and could lead to protracted engagement reminiscent of past Middle Eastern conflicts. Unless decisive external pressure or an internal political rupture alters incentives, the situation is prone to extended instability with cyclical retaliation, constrained diplomacy, and significant humanitarian costs.
https://tribune.com.pk/story/2595016/iaea-schedules-iran-technical-talks-on-march-2

Comments

[asthfghl]

It's notable how Russia has proven totally useless in this situation as well as Venezuela (and Syria). Putin's friends are being knocked out one by one and there's nothing he can do. A giant on clay feet.

[mahnmut]

Let's see how long this whole thing drags on compared to the Three-Day Special Denazification Operation.

[luzribeiro]

And may the war atrocities begin.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/28/israel-strikes-two-schools-in-iran-killing-more-than-50-people

[oportet]

There are rumors Khamenei is dead - if so, or even if not so but it was close - this seems to be a much bigger deal than last years complete and total obliteration of Iran's nuclear program.