nairiporter: (Default)
[personal profile] nairiporter posting in [community profile] talkpolitics
Nicola Sturgeon asks EU to ‘keep a light on’ for Scotland

After Brexit became a fact, Scotland's woes have been growing proportionately to their desire to return to the European family, at least that of Nicola Sturgeon's party, the SNP. No wonder that she's asking the EU to keep the door ajar for Scotland.

Scotland overwhelmingly voted to stay during that infamous referendum, but that wasn't enough. The fact that Scotland will have to leave the EU along with the rest of the UK is definitely not to their liking. Scotland did push for a new independence referendum, to no avail so far.

The last one was in 2014, and 55% said no. Now the SNP is hoping the frustration from Brexit would bring a different result. The Scotsman reports that as of December, support for independence among Scots has reached a unprecedented 58%.

But to get a second referendum, Sturgeon's party will have to win the parliamentary election in May. Sure, they're front-runners for the time being. A possible SNP victory would increase pressure on London to grant Scotland a second referendum. So far Boris Johnson has categorically denied such a prospect, but he might be forced to change his mind soon.

Northern Ireland is experiencing similar sentiments. Both Scotland and NI rejected the Brexit deal (92 votes to 30 in Edinburgh, and 47 to 38 in Belfast). Northern Ireland also narrowly voted against Brexit in 2016.

Now the UK is out of the EU and the customs union. This way the Brexit was completed. Boris Johnson called this "a great moment", as free borders crossing was terminated. What this means exactly got most evident at Calais, where French customs officers are already performing checks on the passing cargo. As a whole, though, the expected chaos at the borders is nowhere to be seen. But things may change for the UK, come May.

(no subject)

Date: 3/1/21 20:28 (UTC)
johnny9fingers: (Default)
From: [personal profile] johnny9fingers
I think it likely that Nicola Sturgeon will win Scotland overwhelmingly, dominate Holyrood, and hold the balance of power in a Westminster hung parliament, which will mean she will get her referendum.

And the Union will be toast, because after what's happened, no Scot will ever trust the English or Welsh again.

Ireland will be reunited. Spain will befriend Gibraltar (if they have any sense) until the folk of Gib want to be Spanish. It will be possible to woo the enclaves after this, with generosity and good intent.

Farage, BoJo, Crispin Odey, Rees-Mogg, Banks... what patriots they are. I wonder, does the Kremlin still make folk into nobles. Count Nigel of somewhere like Murmansk would be appropriate. Mainly because he is a count. Did I spell it wrong again?

(no subject)

Date: 3/1/21 23:19 (UTC)
asthfghl: (Ауди А6 за шес' хиляди марки. Проблемче?)
From: [personal profile] asthfghl
And cats will lay with dogs in the streets, and there'll be locusts in the fields...

(no subject)

Date: 4/1/21 08:21 (UTC)
johnny9fingers: (Default)
From: [personal profile] johnny9fingers
I’ll bet you a beer that the Scots nationalists get their referendum and leave the union. Ireland will be functionally reunited by the customs border in the Irish Sea.

The only contentious part of my predictions is Gibraltar; and that depends on the Spanish response.

So while the comparisons to biblical eschatology may be a trifle overblown I’d say my predictions were pretty conservative. YMMV as they say.

(no subject)

Date: 3/1/21 22:03 (UTC)
ex_flameandsong751: An androgynous-looking guy: short grey hair under rainbow cat ears hat, wearing silver Magen David and black t-shirt, making a peace sign, background rainbow bokeh. (*2 ravens sea)
From: [personal profile] ex_flameandsong751
I feel like as an American I shouldn't have an opinion on this, nonetheless, I wish Scotland her independence and would like to see a united Ireland.

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