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talkpoliticsWith the news of poor Ruth Bader Ginsburg's fall we can now see that 45 will soon have yet another nomination for SCOTUS to appoint; which will be his third.
This will make a tidy difference to SCOTUS. With Trump's two appointments so far it sits at five Republican nominations to four Democratic ones. After this, it will be six-three to the Republican's favour.
When commenting in general about gerrymandering in the US a Harvard constitutional law professor, Laurence Tribe, said this:
"...Especially with a sitting president who won a majority in the electoral college [in 2016] while receiving roughly 3m fewer votes than his opponent, and a supreme court five of whose nine justices were nominated by Republican presidents who collectively received fewer popular votes than their Democratic opponents and were confirmed by Senates similarly skewed."
SCOTUS is one of the cornerstones of the US constitution. The Dems appear to have ignored it as being consequential for years. They have never sought to find the tempo or be on the beat when it came to timing nominations or delaying them; well, either that or luck naturally favours the GOP. The "gentleman's agreement" between the two parties about nominations and approvals came to an end with Obama the victim of an outstanding set of delaying tactics by the Republicans, intent on playing the long game.
Now we can see the full extent of Hillary's loss; and how that loss will resonate, via SCOTUS, through the next decades. And we have also seen how women can make a difference in an election. But when it came to the president, many American women elected Trump over Hillary. And many American women elected anyone but a Dem for the last two mid-terms. All of which will enable SCOTUS to reconsider Roe vs Wade with a 6 - 3 majority should the time come.
Interesting times in the formation and gestation of the Republic of Gilead. Birth pangs, even. As a person with an opinion about political systems, I'd suggest anything showing similar symptoms to Republic of Gilead needs termination before birth, alas; it is too crippled and deformed to lead a meaningful existence. Those few mediæval polities remaining in the modern world hide their deformities as much as they can, but it is obvious they are crippled, at least morally. (But at least Saudi has begun to let women drive, alongside other less noble and more murderous policies. Did I praise them with faint damns? I think the term I'm looking for is litotes or meiosis, but the old noggin ain't what it was.)
As soon as 45 has gotten another SCOTUS member approved, he will have done his job. Then the party can throw him to the wolves and wash their hands of him, all of them declaiming him for the sleazebag he is, and some of them secretly hoping they can play the victim when Mueller's investigation bears fruit. I can just hear the quotes "He hijacked the party to his own agenda..." and "We didn't credit that the Russians owned him lock, stock, and barrel" etc, and etc.
Expect the GOP to turn on him soon after the Senate has approved his nominee, because they know they can lose once immediately after Trump has been impeached, much like with Carter after Ford/Nixon, but know they will come again strongly; especially with a Dem POTUS working against a Republican dominated Congress and SCOTUS; and with Congress and SCOTUS onside when they win they can reset the game rules again. They have proven remarkably good at this, which is why the Dems are always pushing uphill.The Dems will only get better results when they start to think strategically as well as tactically. Deep strategy seems to evade them, the Dems being happy in the noble causes of enlightenment and justice, and thinking the world will come to them because other folk pay lip service to the same ideals. And that is why they get kicked in the crutch time and time again. I think it will take someone from the GOP to take down Trump, and I have a feeling the GOP will get the timing right on this one; it is what they are good at.
That's all right I suppose,
As it goes.
This will make a tidy difference to SCOTUS. With Trump's two appointments so far it sits at five Republican nominations to four Democratic ones. After this, it will be six-three to the Republican's favour.
When commenting in general about gerrymandering in the US a Harvard constitutional law professor, Laurence Tribe, said this:
"...Especially with a sitting president who won a majority in the electoral college [in 2016] while receiving roughly 3m fewer votes than his opponent, and a supreme court five of whose nine justices were nominated by Republican presidents who collectively received fewer popular votes than their Democratic opponents and were confirmed by Senates similarly skewed."
SCOTUS is one of the cornerstones of the US constitution. The Dems appear to have ignored it as being consequential for years. They have never sought to find the tempo or be on the beat when it came to timing nominations or delaying them; well, either that or luck naturally favours the GOP. The "gentleman's agreement" between the two parties about nominations and approvals came to an end with Obama the victim of an outstanding set of delaying tactics by the Republicans, intent on playing the long game.
Now we can see the full extent of Hillary's loss; and how that loss will resonate, via SCOTUS, through the next decades. And we have also seen how women can make a difference in an election. But when it came to the president, many American women elected Trump over Hillary. And many American women elected anyone but a Dem for the last two mid-terms. All of which will enable SCOTUS to reconsider Roe vs Wade with a 6 - 3 majority should the time come.
Interesting times in the formation and gestation of the Republic of Gilead. Birth pangs, even. As a person with an opinion about political systems, I'd suggest anything showing similar symptoms to Republic of Gilead needs termination before birth, alas; it is too crippled and deformed to lead a meaningful existence. Those few mediæval polities remaining in the modern world hide their deformities as much as they can, but it is obvious they are crippled, at least morally. (But at least Saudi has begun to let women drive, alongside other less noble and more murderous policies. Did I praise them with faint damns? I think the term I'm looking for is litotes or meiosis, but the old noggin ain't what it was.)
As soon as 45 has gotten another SCOTUS member approved, he will have done his job. Then the party can throw him to the wolves and wash their hands of him, all of them declaiming him for the sleazebag he is, and some of them secretly hoping they can play the victim when Mueller's investigation bears fruit. I can just hear the quotes "He hijacked the party to his own agenda..." and "We didn't credit that the Russians owned him lock, stock, and barrel" etc, and etc.
Expect the GOP to turn on him soon after the Senate has approved his nominee, because they know they can lose once immediately after Trump has been impeached, much like with Carter after Ford/Nixon, but know they will come again strongly; especially with a Dem POTUS working against a Republican dominated Congress and SCOTUS; and with Congress and SCOTUS onside when they win they can reset the game rules again. They have proven remarkably good at this, which is why the Dems are always pushing uphill.The Dems will only get better results when they start to think strategically as well as tactically. Deep strategy seems to evade them, the Dems being happy in the noble causes of enlightenment and justice, and thinking the world will come to them because other folk pay lip service to the same ideals. And that is why they get kicked in the crutch time and time again. I think it will take someone from the GOP to take down Trump, and I have a feeling the GOP will get the timing right on this one; it is what they are good at.
That's all right I suppose,
As it goes.
(no subject)
Date: 8/11/18 20:37 (UTC)Trump is looking increasingly like a candidate ripe for political sacrifice on the altar of the greater GOP good. But much of this is foreshadowing a disastrous analysis with chapter-and-verse from Mueller. If that doesn't happen, the GOP is stuck with the Donald.
(no subject)
Date: 8/11/18 21:35 (UTC)'Wait and see' is getting old for the people who aren't already convinced of the outcome.
(no subject)
Date: 9/11/18 00:27 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 9/11/18 01:52 (UTC)At a guess, and given the general Secret Service and Diplomatic Service opinions of Donald the man, rather than the office of POTUS 45, no stone will have been unturned.
But I doubt that they will use any unverifiable evidence from abroad, if that's what you mean. Or any unverifiable evidence at all really; the man is POTUS.