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dancesofthelight Stop me if you've heard this one before.
( Damn Fool War in Asia Mk. I )
( Damn Fool War in Asia Mk II )
( History repeats itself twice, once as tragedy, once as farce. )
So who to believe? Trump's Administration has been remarkably consistent with its incompetence and I do not think they could organize an event on this scale in that vital a part of the world this cleanly, otherwise they'dve displayed far more competence and skill at any point in the history of their administration. What middling 'competence' at evil it displays is inaction and letting things atrophy. Orchestrating a USS Maine style war pretext requires these buffoons to magically display something for the first time in their entire lives, most of them, for them to do so. And I don't see it magically happening now when it hasn't in up to 70+ years.
Iran? Iran isn't that much better at shit given that it regularly gets caught doing it, which the really talented people tend to be about 20/30 years too late to do anything about it. Iran has been involved in tanker wars before, but it was not the one that initiated it, and its actions were mroe defensive and more to the point you'd think they'd remember that those results were not in their favor.
However since the Tanker Wars of yesteryear saw Iraqis blowing up a US ship to see the USA target Iranians, I daresay that odds could literally be that if anyone magicked up some competence out of nowhere, it was the goddamn Saudis and their ability to get away with that, again, would literally be a twisted throwback to the 80s in one of the more unpleasant prospects of same.
Mind you I have no doubt the USA is going to exploit this to the hilt, but I don't think the current iteration of the US military or intelligence apparatuses is anywhere near ruthless or competent enough to orchestrate something like this no matter how much or how badly it might want to do so.
( Damn Fool War in Asia Mk. I )
( Damn Fool War in Asia Mk II )
( History repeats itself twice, once as tragedy, once as farce. )
So who to believe? Trump's Administration has been remarkably consistent with its incompetence and I do not think they could organize an event on this scale in that vital a part of the world this cleanly, otherwise they'dve displayed far more competence and skill at any point in the history of their administration. What middling 'competence' at evil it displays is inaction and letting things atrophy. Orchestrating a USS Maine style war pretext requires these buffoons to magically display something for the first time in their entire lives, most of them, for them to do so. And I don't see it magically happening now when it hasn't in up to 70+ years.
Iran? Iran isn't that much better at shit given that it regularly gets caught doing it, which the really talented people tend to be about 20/30 years too late to do anything about it. Iran has been involved in tanker wars before, but it was not the one that initiated it, and its actions were mroe defensive and more to the point you'd think they'd remember that those results were not in their favor.
However since the Tanker Wars of yesteryear saw Iraqis blowing up a US ship to see the USA target Iranians, I daresay that odds could literally be that if anyone magicked up some competence out of nowhere, it was the goddamn Saudis and their ability to get away with that, again, would literally be a twisted throwback to the 80s in one of the more unpleasant prospects of same.
Mind you I have no doubt the USA is going to exploit this to the hilt, but I don't think the current iteration of the US military or intelligence apparatuses is anywhere near ruthless or competent enough to orchestrate something like this no matter how much or how badly it might want to do so.
