[identity profile] lordtwinkie.livejournal.com posting in [community profile] talkpolitics
so Peter Schiff was pretty spot on with the housing bubble, subprime mortgage crisis, now he's predicting a collapse of the dollar.



much more behind the cut


Then theres the three government reports released recently which suggest we are heading towards more doom and gloom

“Large budget deficits,” write the authors of the CBO report, would …

“Reduce national saving,” leading to …
“More borrowing from abroad” and …
“Less domestic investment,” which in turn would …
“Depress income growth in the United States,” and …
“Seriously harm the economy.”
Worse, on page 14, the CBO warns that:

“Lenders may become concerned about the financial solvency of the government and …
“Demand higher interest rates to compensate for the increasing riskiness of holding government debt.” Plus …
“Both foreign and domestic lenders may not provide enough funds for the government to meet its obligations.”

The CBO declares on page 15 that:

“The systematic widening of budget shortfalls projected under CBO’s long-term scenarios has never been observed in U.S. history” and …
It will also be larger than the debt accumulations of any other industrialized nation in the post-World War II period, including Belgium and Italy, the two worst cases of all.

“The analysis omitted the pressures that a rising ratio of debt to GDP would have on real interest rates and economic growth.”
“The growth of debt would lead to a vicious cycle in which the government had to issue ever-larger amounts of debt in order to pay ever-higher interest charges.”
“More government borrowing would drain the nation’s pool of savings, reducing investment” and …
“Capital would probably flee the United States, further reducing investment.”


So uh should we be worried, are the Keynesian policies being set into action leading us to disaster? If so should I be buying the fuck out of gold? Or are these just some crackpot ideas and overblown worries and we should stay the course?

also Congressional leaders fight against posting bills online

The foundation has begun an effort to get Congress to post bills online, for all to see, 72 hours before lawmakers vote on them.
"It would give the public a chance to really digest and understand what is in the bill," Rosenberg said, "and communicate whether that is a good or a bad thing while there is still time to fix it."

A similar effort is under way in Congress. Reps. Brian Baird, D-Wash., and Greg Walden, R-Ore., are circulating a petition among House lawmakers that would force a vote on the 72-hour rule.

Nearly every Republican has signed on, but the Democratic leadership is unwilling to cede control over when bills are brought to the floor for votes and are discouraging their rank and file from signing the petition. Senate Democrats voted down a similar measure last week for the health care bill.

The reluctance to implement a three-day rule is not unique to the Democrats.
The Republican majority rushed through the controversial Patriot Act in the wake of the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks as well as a massive Medicare prescription drug bill in 2003 that added hundreds of billions of dollars to the deficit.


why is congress so dead set against the voters reading these damn bills? shouldn't they be enthusiastic about a voting public who actually want to participate and be informed? i thought this was the change Obama promised.

Is this all because the Mayans and Roland Emmerich are right? and we are doomed in a few years anyhow?

(no subject)

Date: 8/10/09 03:32 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] geezer-also.livejournal.com
LJ cut is your friend ;)

I keep swearing I will buy Gold, but never do. I figure I survived the Carter years, and my parents survived the depression, how bad can it get?

Why should we voters get to read the bills? Our representatives barely do, and most things go down party lines, so who cares..

"whoopee we're all going to die".....Country Joe McDonald

(no subject)

Date: 8/10/09 03:54 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] prader.livejournal.com
lol. And you keep saying everyone else is cynical.

Not cynical at all........

Date: 8/10/09 04:04 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] geezer-also.livejournal.com
just pragmatic! (well, at least that's my story and I'm sticking to it ;) )

Re: Not cynical at all........

Date: 8/10/09 04:05 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] prader.livejournal.com
One man's freedom fighter... er, wait, I'm mixing metaphors again.

(no subject)

Date: 8/10/09 12:45 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mahnmut.livejournal.com
how bad can it get?

Never ask such a question OMGZ!

[Error: unknown template 'video']

We all gonna diiiieee!

(no subject)

Date: 8/10/09 22:08 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] geezer-also.livejournal.com
You are right, it can always get worse........I don't believe I wrote that, I never SAY it aaarrrrggggg!!!!!!

(no subject)

Date: 8/10/09 22:43 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mahnmut.livejournal.com
The trailer must've been convincing.

(no subject)

Date: 8/10/09 15:33 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] terminator44.livejournal.com
If it does look like the dollar is going to go Chernobyl, I'll buy cigarettes, batteries, bullets, and alcohol. Judging from history, they will be more likely to become surrogate currencies than bits of any metal.

(no subject)

Date: 8/10/09 21:49 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] geezer-also.livejournal.com
I'm investing in Big Little Books and Kellogtg pep pins myself.

(no subject)

Date: 8/10/09 04:44 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dudeuhman.livejournal.com
should we be worried? it depends on your socioeconomic status and how much you care about luxury goods. a huge portion of americans consume way more than necessary for a happy and productive life. we can survive an economic downturn as a whole, but how well specific people fare depends on how wealth will be divided amongst the classes. the rest of the world is catching up to our manufacturing way faster than we're coming up with new valuable ideas. but that doesn't necessarily have to be the case. i believe the majorities in power in congress want info given as shortly beforehand as possible on upcoming bills to avoid possible conflict. if they have the majority, the less the opposition knows about a bill, the better (for them).

(no subject)

Date: 8/10/09 10:11 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ddstory.livejournal.com
Please lj-cut.

(no subject)

Date: 8/10/09 10:17 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] tridus.livejournal.com
Deficits during recessions happen. That in itself isn't the end of the world. The big problem is that during the good times, you're supposed to run a surplus and pay it back, which puts you into a good financial position to deal with the next recession.

That is the part the US fails at, completely. Bush failed at it. Obama will fail at it. The public fails at it for their pathalogical hatred of taxes (while not caring about piling up the debt).

On the current trend? Yeah, you should be worried. The good news is that it doesn't have to stay this way if the will to change appears. Canada was on this track in the 70s to early 90s, and we managed to put a stop to it.


(And as for the other thing, not making bills viewable to the public before voting on them is just silly. I don't know what the democrats are thinking on that one, as much as I hate the idea of agreeing with republicans on anything. :P )

(no subject)

Date: 8/10/09 11:13 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] allhatnocattle.livejournal.com
the USD collapse will really piss off the Saudi's who have the bulk of their wealth in US currency in NY banks. I wonder what arms they've stockpiled.

Unlike the rest of OPEC, Saudi Arabia being monarchy made them manipulable in long stable terms. Instead of dealing with leadership that passes from individual to individual, in Saudi Arabia the leadership is an entire family.

(no subject)

Date: 8/10/09 11:48 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mijopo.livejournal.com
Note that that "article" to which you initially link and whose quotes you quote is really an ad for a money management seminar. As an ad, it's pretty useful insofar as it links to some government reports, I even posted about it on my LJ, but let's just be clear that it is an advertisement.

(no subject)

Date: 8/10/09 14:30 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] malasadas.livejournal.com
Schiff predicts disasters.

Sometimes he is correct.

Considering the dollar - it should be made very clear that he has pretty much golded himself up. It is entirely in his interest to convince people to keep running up the price of gold. Plus he's selling his investment perspective.
(deleted comment)

(no subject)

Date: 8/10/09 21:55 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] geezer-also.livejournal.com
Oh sure, that's fine for you, but what about me, I'm too old to be mad max any more :P

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