Some have caused the Iowa result "bursting Trump's bubble". But not so fast. The New Hampshire polls suggest Trump has an overwhelming advantage over his primary rival. As does Sanders over Hillary, btw.
I've heard that Rubio's 3rd place was a surprise, but, given the last time he showed up in Iowa, and his Evangelical backing, I'd say neither this, nor Cruz' win is a surprise. Besides, Rubio could thank Rove-Fox a big thank you for their overwhelming bias in his favor.
Anyway. Your thoughts on the result? And on what's coming ahead? Which candidates does the early primaries' schedule favor, given the specific composition of their constituency? It's of course way too early to make a call, what with the changing leaders on the right and the tight battle on the left. I'd say Rubio is not to be written off just yet - the conservative establishment has demonstrated they hate both GOP front-runners, after all. In the end, it's going to come down to establishment vs anti-establishment. Curiously, on both ends.
And because we're about Charts&Maps this month, here's an interesting specimen, showing how the states have voted at the presidential elections over the years.
I've heard that Rubio's 3rd place was a surprise, but, given the last time he showed up in Iowa, and his Evangelical backing, I'd say neither this, nor Cruz' win is a surprise. Besides, Rubio could thank Rove-Fox a big thank you for their overwhelming bias in his favor.
Anyway. Your thoughts on the result? And on what's coming ahead? Which candidates does the early primaries' schedule favor, given the specific composition of their constituency? It's of course way too early to make a call, what with the changing leaders on the right and the tight battle on the left. I'd say Rubio is not to be written off just yet - the conservative establishment has demonstrated they hate both GOP front-runners, after all. In the end, it's going to come down to establishment vs anti-establishment. Curiously, on both ends.
And because we're about Charts&Maps this month, here's an interesting specimen, showing how the states have voted at the presidential elections over the years.

(no subject)
Date: 2/2/16 14:06 (UTC)Nice chart btw.
(no subject)
Date: 2/2/16 14:31 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 3/2/16 13:55 (UTC)Apparently, because their evangelicalism exceeds their desire to "Make America
WhiteGreat Again"(no subject)
Date: 2/2/16 14:50 (UTC)O'Malley is gone, so either Bernie or Hillary will pick up one vote in Maryland - shouldn't make much of a difference.
(no subject)
Date: 2/2/16 20:22 (UTC)I was surprised Sanders did well. It's an interesting election.
(no subject)
Date: 2/2/16 22:55 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 3/2/16 07:18 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 3/2/16 14:29 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 3/2/16 21:18 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 3/2/16 21:29 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 3/2/16 21:48 (UTC)But of course, you're free to keep believing in whatever utopia you've been taught to believe in.
(no subject)
Date: 3/2/16 21:57 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 3/2/16 22:03 (UTC)You don't know me, you don't know a thing about the place I live in, and you don't know what my motivations or my level of hope is - so I suggest you cut the crappy psychoanalysis effort right there.
Question. Do you honestly believe that if Trump gets elected, he'd really build a big beautiful wall and make Mexico pay for it, ban all Muslims from entering the country, and make all problems of international diplomacy go away by just looking Putin in the eye? Do you believe that if Sanders gets elected, he'd establish some sort of Scandinavian socialism in America? Do you believe half the things these guys spout in front of the mics is what's actually going to happen? Get back to reality, pal. The president is just among many players in the equation, and in many respects not even the most significant player. The system is designed in a way that no matter who's going to be president, the country will keep moving in the direction it's already been moving, more or less. Democracy will keep getting slowly but gradually eroded, personal freedoms will keep getting undermined one tiny bit after another, and your foreign policy is definitely not going to make a dramatic turn. The only thing that matters somewhat is which party would have a president in the White House, and even that would only yield one set of nuance rather than the other - but the general direction will be maintained, no matter who you'll elect.
So yeah, the question remains. Why get so worked up about all this election drama?
(no subject)
Date: 3/2/16 22:10 (UTC)They misconstrue the recognition of the status quo as a loss of hope. A language that doesn't match the set of talking points that they've been spoon-fed over the years, feels completely alien to them, and one that they confuse for the paranoid blabbering of a conspiracy tinfoil schizophrenic.
It's pointless to even begin to reason with that sort of mentality.
(no subject)
Date: 4/2/16 02:00 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 4/2/16 07:07 (UTC)Get off your high horse and spare me the platitudes.
(no subject)
Date: 4/2/16 12:38 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 4/2/16 01:58 (UTC)You call it cynical dystopia. Others who've got the insight (or at least willingness to have it) call it reality (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/akbar-ganji/the-transformation-of-ame_1_b_7945040.html).
Call it what you want despite HuffPo's opinion piece. There are opinions on both sides of the argument.
You don't know me, you don't know a thing about the place I live in, and you don't know what my motivations or my level of hope is - so I suggest you cut the crappy psychoanalysis effort right there.
I beg to differ. I have been in the forum for years and have come to know a lot about a lot of the people in here. I happen to know you have a really shitty opinion of the United States (http://talk-politics.livejournal.com/2037271.html?thread=150572311#t150572311). That is a direct quote from you. That is not an ad hominem or whatever insipid catch phrase you want to use to avoid the issue.
Question. Do you honestly believe that if Trump gets elected, he'd really build a big beautiful wall and make Mexico pay for it, ban all Muslims from entering the country, and make all problems of international diplomacy go away by just looking Putin in the eye? Do you believe that if Sanders gets elected, he'd establish some sort of Scandinavian socialism in America? Do you believe half the things these guys spout in front of the mics is what's actually going to happen?
Anybody that really knows American politics knows that this an agenda and a direction that they are proposing. Anybody who believes that this is a laundry list of promises becomes disappointed at their own peril. The only people that try to hold them to it are the opposition. The reality is that the whole campaign is an enormous job interview that is asking the American people to hire them as President.
The president is just among many players in the equation, and in many respects not even the most significant player.
The President is an enormous player in the equation. He heads up the executive branch which selects his cabinet, who in turn executes the law of the land. He also is the front man for the government. Anybody that opposes the agenda he was elected on answers to the American people in the next election. There is an accountability to the people of the United States that can't be ignored.
The system is designed in a way that no matter who's going to be president, the country will keep moving in the direction it's already been moving, more or less.
Yes. We have continuity of administrations where one picks up the business of the prior administration. If we didn't do this, we would have constant chaos.
The system is designed in a way that no matter who's going to be president, the country will keep moving in the direction it's already been moving, more or less. Democracy will keep getting slowly but gradually eroded, personal freedoms will keep getting undermined one tiny bit after another, and your foreign policy is definitely not going to make a dramatic turn. The only thing that matters somewhat is which party would have a president in the White House, and even that would only yield one set of nuance rather than the other - but the general direction will be maintained, no matter who you'll elect.
Thanks for your laundry list of internet memes. Yes. We move forward without horrible disruptions in our place in the world. Thanks for understanding.
(no subject)
Date: 4/2/16 07:05 (UTC)And you still don't know me, or where I'm coming from.
The president is one of the many players. Picking one candidate over the other will not change America's policies drastically. It'll only change nuances. Even the more radical or non-establishment candidates like Trump and Sanders will inevitably fall in line, once they're elected. That's how the system works. You ignore this fact at YOUR own peril. So thanks for trying, but you're not going to change my observations with a few worn-out tropes and a cheap shot at personal analysis.
(no subject)
Date: 4/2/16 07:12 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 4/2/16 08:27 (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 3/2/16 22:14 (UTC)But try being a tad more specific this time. I'm afraid general platitudes of the "you've lost all hope" sort are not going to cut it.
(frozen) (no subject)
Date: 4/2/16 07:15 (UTC)(frozen) (no subject)
Date: 5/2/16 13:18 (UTC)Well, you're not giving a fine example.
(no subject)
Date: 3/2/16 02:03 (UTC)Equally surprising is Mr. Sanders' showing. Mrs. Clinton is smart, experienced, and kind of reasonable, but it's been a while since we've had a technocrat as president. If she loses, this will be the second time that a relative unknown had displaced her. Maybe it's time for the Democrats to field a dozen candidates rather than an anointed candidate, an outsider, and some dude trying to run for VP.
(no subject)
Date: 3/2/16 14:35 (UTC)I don't know. It's kind of nice seeing the Republicans dissipating all their campaign finance money that comes from the Citizens United vs. The Federal Election Commission Supreme Court decision on their primaries. That's what's keeping their cast of thousands in the race.
(no subject)
Date: 4/2/16 02:56 (UTC)It also looks like Mrs. Clinton going to have to use some of that campaign money of her own if she wants to beat Sanders. It seems like the Democrats are looking at the same drawback, an expensive primary, without the party members at large really being able to pick the candidate.
(no subject)
Date: 3/2/16 21:16 (UTC)