[identity profile] stewstewstewdio.livejournal.com posting in [community profile] talkpolitics

confused

I'm totally down with insurrection in the street. I've had a great time with that over the years. Insurrection in the voting booth is the other part of the equation. - Jello Biafra

Hi. It’s me. Your idealistic moderate Democrat who feels the government essentially works like it should. It may not be to your liking, but then, that’s democracy for you. Just when you think you’re getting everything your own way, everybody else in the country comes along and pisses on your parade.



I am hearing more and more that people don’t want to vote in elections because, either their favorite candidate was defeated in the primary or they feel the two separate and distinct parties are exactly the same. The evidence they cite for this is the practice of one president providing some continuity from the prior administration so that the country isn’t in a constant state of turmoil.

It is said that the states are the laboratories of democracy. If that’s the case, apparently California is the mad scientist. They are experimenting with non-partisan primaries in an attempt to relieve the partisan legislative gridlock in Washington. Instead of the parties having a runoff in the elections, the top 2 candidates by popular vote will face off in the election regardless of party affiliation.

According to Pew Research over the last 25 years, our divisions aren’t necessarily by party, but ideology. The primary point of disagreement is the role of government vs. social safety nets, not Republicans vs. Democrats.

I am hearing recurrently that a 3rd party can really shake things up in our political system. Well, there’s been encouraging news. Peter Ackerman is a venture capitalist that was pumping millions of dollars in a party called Americans Elect. The purpose of this party was to draft a presidential candidate, any candidate that could give Americans a true choice in the next election.

The problem is that they couldn't get a credible candidate to run for their party. They were hoping for a field of choices like Ron Paul, Chris Christie, Michael Bloomberg, Condoleezza Rice, Colin Powell or even Hillary Clinton. Instead what they wound up with was a field that seemed a little less than presidential.

These include prospects like Kenneth Domagala, who wants to make Cuba the 51st state, and Dwight Smith, who has been running for president for the last 52 years. Americans Elect had already gotten their party on the ballot in 28 states. They felt they had the momentum to get on all 50. The only thing that seemed to be missing was a plausible candidate. This party claims to provide the solution that all of America seems to be screaming for as an alternative to politics as usual.

I am not surprised that peculiar people are coming out of the woodwork to run. If this community shows anything, it is that everyone is trying to shape politics in their own image; even to the detriment of everyone else. There is little, if any regard for the one-size-fits-all solutions that are inherent to a federal government structure. Even self-described centrists are straying from their regular temperament in the opinion pages of our news media.

The funding was there. The infrastructure seemed to be there. What was missing? You tell me.



(no subject)

Date: 19/6/12 11:14 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kylinrouge.livejournal.com
Americans Elect is a joke. I'm all for third parties, but come on.

http://www.filibustercartoons.com/index.php/2012/02/25/americans-elect-to-the-rescue/

(no subject)

Date: 19/6/12 15:46 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sophia-sadek.livejournal.com
It sounds like the Republcratic Party. When attempting to solve the vexing problems of big-endians vs. little-endians, they come across as a Gulliver-lite.

(no subject)

Date: 22/6/12 16:24 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] yes-justice.livejournal.com
The cartoon group would be a nice place to post that, its good.
(deleted comment)

(no subject)

Date: 19/6/12 11:20 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kylinrouge.livejournal.com
Local elections are often much more important and indicative of actual change than the national stage anyway. It's also what will affect people the most personally. You have to show that the third party is actually viable by proving themselves on the local level. These guys going straight for the Presidency or Governor seats is just a bunch of rich sods having a laugh.
(deleted comment)

(no subject)

Date: 19/6/12 18:06 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] a-new-machine.livejournal.com
What are the advantages of the FPTP system?
Edited Date: 19/6/12 18:06 (UTC)
(deleted comment)

(no subject)

Date: 19/6/12 19:42 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] a-new-machine.livejournal.com
Stability is one good point. Not sure I agree re: the mandates though. I mean, if anything, a majority is far more powerful in parliamentary systems than it is in ours, because they don't have super-majority requirements (as for, effectively, Senate passage and veto override).

As for a non-compromising party causing problems, stability is probably a big problem here, too. Think of it this way: do you think the debt ceiling debacle would've gone down the way it did if the Republicans in the House were subject to a no-confidence vote that would trigger a new election? I sincerely doubt it. But they knew they had two years to repair their image before the next election, so they let it happen.

I'm surprised you didn't mention that we have more responsive representatives to the individual concerns of their much smaller constituent base, as that's the major reason in favor of the FPTP system I've heard.
Edited Date: 19/6/12 19:43 (UTC)

(no subject)

Date: 19/6/12 12:41 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] badlydrawnjeff.livejournal.com
The funding was there. The infrastructure seemed to be there. What was missing? You tell me.

Credibility, mostly. It set so many arbitrary boundaries that it became worthless rather quickly, and their leading candidates were Ron Paul (who would have never jumped ship), Rocky Anderson (an out-of-touch far leftist), and Buddy Roemer, who couldn't even get enough support on his own to make the primary ballot on the GOP side.

The issue is not that people view the parties as exactly the same, but that the parties are doing a poor job representing people's true ideologies. The Republican revolts of the last 3 years or so have been a pushback against the leftward movement of the party. The Democrats are currently pushing back against the Dean-esque 50 state strategy that elected so many Blue Dogs, trying to move the Democrats further to the left. The center is along for the ride, but is generally better represented by the Republicans anyway given our ideological makeup. Thus, this idea that the moderates are underrepresented or not represented at all takes hold among those who don't fit into that paradigm.

The push for a third party alternative comes partially from ignorance (they're both the same! they're all run by rich out-of-touch elitists!) and partially from a misunderstanding about what they exist for. If there were a true, unequivocal need for a third party, it would arise. Instead, people are generally okay with the two party system and leaving those party distinctions to the political types while increasingly remaining independent themselves - that way, they can vote for who they want as opposed to being locked into a certain party.

(no subject)

Date: 19/6/12 13:18 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] badlydrawnjeff.livejournal.com
It would seem that things you are defining as arbitrary boundaries are necessary in order to target the presumptive national political climate. This would separate it from other alternative parties that have an activist agenda.

To be more clear, then, what the AE group put in place for their nomination made them look unserious and hurt their ability to draft credible candidates.

What you would probably label as successful people

Yes.

(no subject)

Date: 19/6/12 16:56 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] badlydrawnjeff.livejournal.com
Instead going for fringe candidates like Rocky Anderson or Buddy Roemer?

(no subject)

Date: 19/6/12 17:28 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] badlydrawnjeff.livejournal.com
Isn't that a failing of Americans Elect if they lack the credibility to get non-fringe names?
(deleted comment)

(no subject)

Date: 19/6/12 18:45 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dwer.livejournal.com
as in "the people running are all Democrats and the people who aren't running are Republican"? :P

(no subject)

Date: 19/6/12 13:29 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] a-new-machine.livejournal.com
Third parties are structurally unlikely, unless they are going to become a major party within one election cycle. The best illustration of this is Ross Perot's 1992 numbers. Mr. Perot has done the best of any third-party national candidate in recent history, taking 18.9% of the vote by Wikipedia's (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1992) tally. He did it without any party infrastructure - no grassroots at the local level, no secondary committees like the DNC funding him, etc. Being honest, he only pulled off as great an outcome as he did because he spent his own money and was beholden to no one - something most third party candidates can't do (even Americans Elect's candidate will be answerable to Ackerman and their board).

The thing to notice, though, is that despite winning almost one in five voters, Perot claimed exactly 0 electors. Here is where the impossibility of the national third party becomes clear. Winner-take-all districts means that until you have a statistical dead heat with a majority party, no one wants to vote for your for your guy, because he's obviously going to lose. And you'll never have a statistical dead heat because everyone is convinced he'll lose. Chicken and egg problem. Most people are OK with the "lesser of two evils" argument, because they'd rather win a small amount than lose entirely, and they see voting for a third-party guy as a vote "stolen" from the guy who they mostly agree with in the two main parties, since vote-splitting hurts his chances of getting 50%+1. And that's why we have relatively big-tent parties on both sides of the aisle. I mean, the Republicans run the gamut from Ron Paul to Olivia Snow. In any other country, there'd be a half-dozen parties wedged into the political spectrum between those two. The need to get 50%+1 has forced them all together, though.

(no subject)

Date: 19/6/12 15:42 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] telemann.livejournal.com
Third parties are structurally unlikely, unless they are going to become a major party within one election cycle. The best illustration of this is Ross Perot's 1992 numbers. Mr. Perot has done the best of any third-party national candidate in recent history, taking 18.9%

I know you qualified this as "recent" and I don't know if 1968 is really out of the equation for modern presidential elections, but George Wallace got just a hair under what Perot won in votes, but won several southern states, and won a sizable block of electors: 46 electoral votes. In fact, had Wallace won a few more states (depending on how you do the math, it could have been as few as two: e.g. had Wallace won Texas (which went to Humphrey) ]and Florida (which went to Nixon) the election would have been thrown into the House of Representatives. Which means Humphrey would have won in 1968.

/cool presidential election trivia story bro....
Edited Date: 19/6/12 15:43 (UTC)

(no subject)

Date: 19/6/12 15:59 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] a-new-machine.livejournal.com
1968 was unique because of the civil rights movement, though. Wallace was purely a reaction to that - sort of like other short-flare parties/movements. See also the Know-Nothings, and other small but relatively successful flare-ups during the Third Party System (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Third_Party_System). IMO, Wallace would have had a hard time becoming a player in the structure of the national government, because he largely agreed with other parties on most issues, except where he happened to be a violent racist. That means that majority parties could suck away all those who find violent racism to be a lower priority than other issues, leaving him with just the most violent racists - hardly a stable political coalition.

(no subject)

Date: 19/6/12 15:50 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sophia-sadek.livejournal.com
I prefer to stay independent of political parties. Alternative election rules can promise change until the power players figure out how to game them.

(no subject)

Date: 19/6/12 20:22 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] gunslnger.livejournal.com
Sounds like Ross Perot did a lot better than Americans Elect has done.

(no subject)

Date: 21/6/12 19:53 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] enders-shadow.livejournal.com
Nor a guy who can play the sax.

(no subject)

Date: 22/6/12 08:30 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] op-tech-glitch.livejournal.com
I should dig around and see if I still have my "I PARTIED WITH CLINTON ON A UFO" button from back then.

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