[identity profile] enders-shadow.livejournal.com posting in [community profile] talkpolitics
Good afternoon.
I have a question.
How many of you know about this:

http://youtu.be/pngwcQQW5bA

http://youtu.be/NPD-w-wDPVw

(for the video impaired: Rachel Maddow on the election results from Maine. there are vast irregularities in the results. Some counties have 0 total votes, yet Maine repubs are calling it for Romney. Romney's margin of victory was under 200 votes. People on the ground in the counties that have 0 total votes say that at least some townships went to Ron Paul. Is Romney trying to steal the Maine caucus? Are the Maine republicans trying to steal it for Romney? [hey, he could be innocent] Are the repubs just super-fucking-slow in their counting of the votes? What's happening here?

but the videos are good, better than me in detail and specifics and citations. but there's the short-hand)

So, how many y'all know about it? Why doesn't (EDIT:voter) election-fraud hit the media like a sex-scandal? We all know Tiger Woods is a nympho. But nobody knows how the 2012 GOP primary is being stolen.

Also also:

http://youtu.be/9x28_I9oIVg

(for the video impaired: Ron Paul is counting on getting the delegates from states who's primary numbers supported non-Paul candidates more than Paul to vote for Paul at the RNC, since the delegates can vote for any person--regardless of the states caucus results. thus a state who caucused 50% for Romney [hypothetically] does not actually get 50% of the delegates, necessarily. The delegates can vote for Paul 100%, if the particular delegates chose to do that. This is legal. This is part of the Paul presidential bid.)

Ok. So Paul is stealing the election from Romney who is stealing the election from Paul.

Mother frakker, my brain hurts.

Can't we just elect Huey Freeman already?

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 18:08 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] eracerhead.livejournal.com
Why doesn't voter-fraud hit the media like a sex-scandal?

This isn't voter fraud, it is election fraud. It is vitally important to know the difference because the solutions are polar opposites.

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 18:49 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] badlydrawnjeff.livejournal.com
Maine is a massive mess, to be blunt. The caucus model, while fun, is completely unsuited for the modern electoral needs, and this is just one of the reasons why. The problem in Maine is not so much the irregularities (which are to be expected in a caucus in ways paper ballot election day-type situations do not) as much as the weird rules in place for Maine's caucuses - they're not held on any specific day, the party required all of them to be done by a certain point up to and including weather delays, which messed up one county pretty badly, etc.

I do think the Maine GOP is withholding some results because it would give Paul a victory, but to treat a primary like we treat a general election is an error - a primary/caucus is a privilege granted to the population by the parties, it's not a right of citizenship that you have to have the ability to choose the candidate that runs under a specific banner. So this isn't news to me, but I've been paying close attention - it's not really a mainstream story because it's more sausage-making than anything else.

As for the delegate situation, you're misstating it somewhat. Any pledged delegates must vote for who they are pledged for in the first vote. So, for example, if a state is 7 for Romney and 6 for Paul, but all 11 delegates are Paul supporters, they must vote for who they're pledged to first. The Paul strategy, and it's a little underhanded but still quite impressive, is to hope that the first vote does not result in a victor. If a second vote occurs, all the delegates are then free to vote as they wish. It can't happen right away, but it can happen. And this is why precinct captains and town committees are so important in your localities - it's the best way to influence your party on the local level, and the best way to get the most involvement.

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 19:19 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] yes-justice.livejournal.com
Huey is retired!

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 19:28 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dwer.livejournal.com
no, no. The only people who commit voter fraud are black democrats. Don't you listen to Breitbart?

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 19:37 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] the-rukh.livejournal.com
I bet this is because of them Democrats!

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 19:38 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mahnmut.livejournal.com
Who's this Breitbart guy and how can I subscribe to his newsletter?

BUT WHAT ABOUT THE LOBSTER VOTE??

Date: 20/2/12 19:45 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] rick-day.livejournal.com
Image

Someone ate the Ron Paul voter base and Romney is picking his teeth!

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 19:56 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] devil-ad-vocate.livejournal.com
ACORN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 19:56 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dwer.livejournal.com
Let the subscriber beware.

http://www.breitbart.com/

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 20:47 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kylinrouge.livejournal.com
It's interesting to compare it to the Canadian system, where people vote for de facto parties instead of individual candidates. I think that system has worked well to break the 2-party system, although it's still pretty polarized up there. It also seems easier to inform the voter if the candidate's brand is indicative of their positions rather than the other way around. Here, every candidate is a wildcard in terms of their positions, Republican or Democrat.

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 21:15 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] htpcl.livejournal.com
We have the same system here and it's dysfunctional. There are parties acting like hive minds, and any deviation from the party line is severely frowned upon, individual politicians are not "supposed" to exhibit nuanced positions. You're either with the party line, or you're out (we call the process of outing "peeling", and some very interesting one-day "parties" have come out of it).

We've been talking about the necessity of a majoritary (i.e. for-a-person) vote here, but I don't think any party really means it. Nobody would want to let go of their meal, would they?

Meritocratic technocracy will never become a reality here.

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 21:48 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] telemann.livejournal.com
Illinois and Chicago style politics !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 22:28 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] telemann.livejournal.com
Hmmm that makes me hungry for a five pounder at Centro Vasco in Chelsea. *SMACKS LIPS*

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 22:30 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] devil-ad-vocate.livejournal.com
PLANNEDPARENTHOODSOLYNDRA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 22:50 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] badlydrawnjeff.livejournal.com
My understanding is that there are pledged delegates (I.e. candidate wins x delegates, who must vote for said candidate) and at-large delegates that are free to choose. I could be wrong, and there may be another rule that's changed since 2008, but the entire slate is only free after the first vote or if someone drops.out.

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 22:50 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] a-new-machine.livejournal.com
Hm. But is that a result of the political culture, or the responsible-party model?

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 22:52 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] htpcl.livejournal.com
I don't see how the two could be viewed separately. ;-)

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 22:57 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] a-new-machine.livejournal.com
I'm sure a political scientist could come up with a multiple-regression model that will prove that it's caused by the eruption of Pompeii (with an alpha of <0.3!).

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 22:58 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] badlydrawnjeff.livejournal.com
Well, it depends on the outcome after Iowa actually ours their delegates out. The reality is that the Paul campaign planned it this way in hopes of a brokered convention. They cant succeed with this strategy without it.

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 23:01 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] htpcl.livejournal.com
Something like this?

Image

(no subject)

Date: 20/2/12 23:03 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] a-new-machine.livejournal.com
It's the only way to account for all the variables!

(no subject)

Date: 21/2/12 00:06 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] blue-mangos.livejournal.com
Sorta. We vote for individual candidates, for our Members of Parliament, we just don't get a direct vote in our Prime Minister. Whoever is leader of the party that wins the most seats becomes the PM.

Your second part is more true, for the most part politicians here are expected to toe the party line. We're having a by-election here in Toronto soon to fill Jack Layton's seat (:o() and an anti-abortionist ran to be the Liberal candidate. He was not selected and the Interim Liberal party leader made a statement that the Liberal Party is pro-choice (this position is not at all controversial here given we have no abortion laws.) However, MPs can and do cross party lines to vote. Most notably when same-sex marriage was voted on several Liberal MPs crossed the floor to vote with the Conservative Party.

(no subject)

Date: 21/2/12 01:58 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kardashev.livejournal.com
I'd like to care. Really I would. But I'm going to vote in such a way as to hopefully create more government gridlock.

(no subject)

Date: 21/2/12 02:40 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] chron-job.livejournal.com
> but to treat a primary like we treat a general election is an error - a primary/caucus
> is a privilege granted to the population by the parties, it's not a right of
> citizenship that you have to have the ability to choose the candidate that runs
> under a specific banner.

But I become unsettled about this state of affairs when I consider the political stranglehold that the two major parties have over the process.

The distillation of public choice down to just two options can only be legitimate if the previous distillations were also more or less legitimate. In other words, I can acquiesce to the horrible truncation of the possible range of "the people's choice" in the general election, if I can be convinced that such pruning as occurred prior was itself, also reflective of "the people's choice."

Having a process that seems to want to appear as depending on the people's voice, but which ultimately need have no connection to the people's voice, is just a way to obtain unearned legitimacy for a candidate. If the parties just want to sit in a 'smoke filled back room' and choose their candidate, let them do so without any pretense.

(no subject)

Date: 21/2/12 15:36 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] allhatnocattle.livejournal.com
We Canadians vote for our local Member of Parliament running under the banner of a Party. The Party in turn elects it's own leader. When enough MP's under a Party banner win the election, their leader becomes Prime Minister. MP's can (and occasionally do) change party loyalty, altering the dynamics of Parliament, as Belinda Stronach famously did. If enough MP's crossed the floor then the Prime Minister could change (although an election would probably be called before that would happen)

(no subject)

Date: 21/2/12 15:40 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] allhatnocattle.livejournal.com
Why vote? Let Diebold choose the winners for you!

(no subject)

Date: 21/2/12 15:41 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] htpcl.livejournal.com
Make it like a lottery!

(no subject)

Date: 22/2/12 02:46 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] allhatnocattle.livejournal.com
That's the whole problem. Elections are like a lottery. There's no certainty on who will win. Diebold can remove all the guesswork and random chance and ensure victory for the right candidate. It's in our best interest of course.

(no subject)

Date: 22/2/12 06:48 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] htpcl.livejournal.com
Like it matters which wing of the R/D party would win.

(no subject)

Date: 22/2/12 08:12 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] htpcl.livejournal.com
I'm not seeing much of a difference overall in the way the US is run, whether it's Bush or Obama or Clinton, looking from a foreigner's standpoint. While there are many nuances, the overall direction is kept the same.

(no subject)

Date: 22/2/12 15:23 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] allhatnocattle.livejournal.com
well, you do have a point.

(no subject)

Date: 22/2/12 18:48 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] htpcl.livejournal.com
Oh, I'm sure one must have been a better person than the other.

(no subject)

Date: 1/3/12 00:58 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] yes-justice.livejournal.com
"Look, I have many, many friends on Myspace. I pretty much add anybody. I don't know who this Huey Freeman is, but he doesn't stand for what I stand for. And... I denounce, I repudiate, and condemn him. Basically... fuck him. " - Barack Obeezy

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