Well, to some extent. What would be interesting about the Germans attacking on May 15th was the Soviets were on full military alert. Marshal Kirponos gave the Germans a lot more than they were expecting as he was the only one really to have the cojones to do that on 22nd June after so many crying wolf incidents. If the Germans hit a Russian army on full alert and for instance fail to knock out their planes on the first day that's quite a different war than what actually happened.
The consequences of Stalin thereby seeing a lot more reason to trust his spies would be quite profound for the war, possibly enough that the Soviets win a lot sooner and inflict much earlier victories on Germany in excess of what they did in real life. A Bagration-level defeat by late 1942/early 1943 changes the war in all kinds of funky fun ways.
What might probably happen is US industrialism might come to depend on wool or something like that instead of cotton. Cotton agriculture would never come to exist here, and that means paradoxically on the one level blacks would have a life of extreme fail during the generations where slavery disappears and then on another level by the mid-19th Century blacks are assimilated in ways that have never been tried in real life.
Essentially the Frederick Douglass/MLK group of black leaders is both vindicated and the consequence of blacks being less numerous but also more assimilated would be quite interesting. Certainly Northern industrialism will take an entirely different form, where Southern society as freeholder farmers might actually industrialize in its own way itself given that there's little to stop it getting the necessary capital as happened in real life.
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Date: 30/11/10 02:26 (UTC)The consequences of Stalin thereby seeing a lot more reason to trust his spies would be quite profound for the war, possibly enough that the Soviets win a lot sooner and inflict much earlier victories on Germany in excess of what they did in real life. A Bagration-level defeat by late 1942/early 1943 changes the war in all kinds of funky fun ways.
What might probably happen is US industrialism might come to depend on wool or something like that instead of cotton. Cotton agriculture would never come to exist here, and that means paradoxically on the one level blacks would have a life of extreme fail during the generations where slavery disappears and then on another level by the mid-19th Century blacks are assimilated in ways that have never been tried in real life.
Essentially the Frederick Douglass/MLK group of black leaders is both vindicated and the consequence of blacks being less numerous but also more assimilated would be quite interesting. Certainly Northern industrialism will take an entirely different form, where Southern society as freeholder farmers might actually industrialize in its own way itself given that there's little to stop it getting the necessary capital as happened in real life.