nairiporter: (Default)
[personal profile] nairiporter posting in [community profile] talkpolitics
I mean, I'm not sure what kind of world leader he will turn out to be - it is too early to say. But the long-awaited program speech has outlined Biden's main goals in terms of foreign policy. This comes in continuation of the conversation that we had the other day here.

The simplest conclusion from the speech was, "America is back on the path to diplomacy". Joe Biden promised a re-start (yet another one) of foreign policy after four years of Trumpian disaster. He vowed to restore old alliances, he underlined the importance of democratic values, and all we could have expected from a Democratic president. This is essentially a complete departure from Trump's era. And while it is indeed a dramatic shift, it is anything but unexpected. Essentially, Biden has used the opportunity to re-confirm America's global leadership.

Clearly, the first and foremost priority for Biden's foreign policy will be the defense of human rights, universal democratic values, and the supremacy of law, which is what the US has been selling its model around the world with for decades. Among the other plans, halting the withdrawal of US troops from Germany, raising the limits for the number of refugees accepted to US soil, and stopping support for the Saudi war in Yemen.

Biden also called for an involvement around the world based on values, and meeting the challenge of growing authoritarianism. He believes this problem could only be tackled if the nations of the world work together, not everyone to themselves. Among the largest-scale challenges he outlined are the Covid pandemic, climate change, and the defense of human rights around the world. In a nutshell, he seems determined to end the America First doctrine, and mend the cracks that it has opened in America's relations with the rest of the world, including her allies.

He is planning to start with re-assessing the state of the US military forces, and stop the withdrawal of US troops from Germany, so that the US presence abroad could be tied to its national security priorities. He has also signaled and end of support, both military and diplomatic, to the Saudi actions in Yemen, which have led to a humanitarian catastrophe. That is not to say the US would stop supporting Saudi Arabia, though - and important nuance.

Also, after years of severe restrictions on the number of refugees arriving in the US, Biden is planning to ease the grip there. So far the limit has been 15 thousand refugees per year, the lowest level since the 80s. Now Biden is saying he would raise it to 125 thousand for the first year of his term.

As for Russia, Biden will put the emphasis on diplomacy, but he will be much harder on Moscow than Trump ever was. He has praised the extension of the US-Russian New Start agreement for limiting strategic nuclear weapons, but has criticised the arrest of Navalny, insisting on an unconditional release of the Russian dissident. All in all, he is demonstrating that the days when America used to turn a blind eye to Russia's aggressive actions are over. He vowed to hold Putin accountable on subjects such as cyber warfare, and meddling in US elections.

Of course, Biden did not omit China, either. He said the US would oppose any economic wrongdoings and aggressive actions from Beijing, and would repel any Chinese attacks on human rights, intellectual property, and global stability.

However, many have noted the absence of one important subject, Iran. Biden's silence on the topic was shocking, given how hard Trump's secretary of state, Mike Pompeo was on Iran, considering Tehran the source of all evils in the Middle East. Sure, that doesn't mean Biden does not view Iran as another urgent issue, but he may have indicated that he would not view the whole region through the prism of Iran's role in it. Besides, he will of course work for the restoration of the nuclear deal, and the first steps in that direction have actually been made already.
(reply from suspended user)

(no subject)

Date: 8/2/21 10:21 (UTC)
kiaa: (Default)
From: [personal profile] kiaa
Who'll be the new empire, then? Mother Russia?
(reply from suspended user)

(no subject)

Date: 8/2/21 13:18 (UTC)
From: [personal profile] mikeyxw
Authoritarianism hasn't ever needed much marketing, so I don't really see a big difference. Also, China's military prowess is largely untested. The US has decades of practice using the most modern technologies together to blow up their enemies. China has some practice using clubs against Indian troops. Their only aircraft carrier is Russian surplus which spent time as a hotel before being recommissioned as the pride of the Chinese navy.

China's power is going to be economic, both through trade and by owning a bunch of countries via the new silk road. The biggest challenge is that China will be able to buy influence that the West is leaving on the table due to good governance requirements. This may work for a few decades but I'm not sure it'll work out much better than it did for the US or USSR during the 70s. For a great example, see Venezuela, which was one of China's first attempts to lure a country away from the West using generous loans with little oversight, er, I mean strings attached. It may have worked on paper, but it's hard to call it a success, China now owns a big chunk of the oil reserves of a failed nation just as the oil age is coming to an end.

This isn't to downplay China. There will be leaders and countries who see a relationship with China as their future. I just don't see many places giving up liberal democracies to join them.

(no subject)

Date: 8/2/21 10:29 (UTC)
abomvubuso: (Groovy Kol)
From: [personal profile] abomvubuso
So essentially he'll be a pragmatist. If China is your real top foe and not Russia, it wouldn't make sense to declare Russia your top foe now, would it? If hurting China economically means hurting yourself economically, you'd better be prepared to be flexible and find the balance where you'd still be able to apply enough pressure on them without hurting yourself too much. Whether this means he'll keep Trump's hierarchy of foreign-policy priorities (which is likely), doesn't matter that much. What matters is that he fosters enough support from the international community and actually brings a sufficient part of it to America's side, so that America doesn't have to do all the heavy-lifting. And that's where his approach differs from Trump's.
(reply from suspended user)

(no subject)

Date: 8/2/21 10:35 (UTC)
abomvubuso: (Groovy Kol)
From: [personal profile] abomvubuso
Biden hasn't vowed to end any wars. The post is quite clear and specific about the goals and priorities he expects to be pursuing in the following 4 years, given the current situation.
(reply from suspended user)

(no subject)

Date: 8/2/21 10:38 (UTC)
mahnmut: (Default)
From: [personal profile] mahnmut
> Republican presidents tend to focus on the Middle East

Pst! It's the oil.

(no subject)

Date: 8/2/21 10:40 (UTC)
fridi: (Default)
From: [personal profile] fridi
I'm sorry to say it, but something tells me Joe Biden isn't a leader. Fortunately, the US political system is designed in a way that renders this factor largely irrelevant.

Credits & Style Info

Talk Politics.

A place to discuss politics without egomaniacal mods

DAILY QUOTE:
"The NATO charter clearly says that any attack on a NATO member shall be treated, by all members, as an attack against all. So that means that, if we attack Greenland, we'll be obligated to go to war against ... ourselves! Gee, that's scary. You really don't want to go to war with the United States. They're insane!"

March 2026

M T W T F S S
       1
2345 678
910 1112 1314 15
1617 1819 202122
2324 2526 272829
3031     

Summary