But how do we know this has anything to do with a specific Obama campaign lead GOTV effort? I could just as easily say that it was voter anger at obvious Republican suppression efforts, or Voter anger at other specific republican behaviors. Prove your case.
We see the failures of the Romney GOTV and the successes of the Obama GOTV in the face of declining voter share. We see specifically who the Obama campaign targeted and those direct results. It's pretty cut and dry - "voter suppression" isn't cited in the exit polls.
None of these can establish any causative link. There is no reason to suppose that the Walker recall is connected to general party partisanship.
I think you're a little underinformed on the successes of the voter identification and GOTV initiatives regarding the Walker recall. You're correct to a point that there may not be overlap, but you're only providing theoreticals to counter the factual nature of the good versus bad campaigns we've seen over the last few cycles.
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Date: 11/11/12 14:08 (UTC)We see the failures of the Romney GOTV and the successes of the Obama GOTV in the face of declining voter share. We see specifically who the Obama campaign targeted and those direct results. It's pretty cut and dry - "voter suppression" isn't cited in the exit polls.
None of these can establish any causative link. There is no reason to suppose that the Walker recall is connected to general party partisanship.
I think you're a little underinformed on the successes of the voter identification and GOTV initiatives regarding the Walker recall. You're correct to a point that there may not be overlap, but you're only providing theoreticals to counter the factual nature of the good versus bad campaigns we've seen over the last few cycles.