And yet Obama's vote totals are less this year than last? How do we distinguish this assertion from the narrative republicans deploy to insure their policies are not to blame?
Yes. Overall turnout is down, and Obama lost with independents. That's why his share is lower, yet he made up for it with superior base GOTV.
True. But just how significant is GOTV? How do we test with, versus without GOTV efforts? In short, how do we prove the case?
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Date: 11/11/12 02:52 (UTC)Yes. Overall turnout is down, and Obama lost with independents. That's why his share is lower, yet he made up for it with superior base GOTV.
True. But just how significant is GOTV? How do we test with, versus without GOTV efforts? In short, how do we prove the case?
Well, Romney, McCain, basically without. 2010, Walker recall, 2004 Bush, basically with.