[identity profile] badlydrawnjeff.livejournal.com posting in [community profile] talkpolitics
Today, the Supreme Court is likely to hand down four significant decisions:

* The health care reform cases: A collection of cases regarding the Constitutionality of the mandate, of the Medicaid expansion, etc. UPDATE: Ruling comes on Thursday.

* U.S. v. Arizona: A case regarding the Constitutionality of Arizona's immigration enforcement laws. UPDATE: Mixed ruling, balance favors the federal government.

* United States v. Alvarez: A case regarding the Constitutionality of the Stolen Valor Act on First Amendment grounds. We discussed this last week. UPDATE: Ruling comes on Thursday.

* Miller v. Alabama/Jackson v. Hobbs: Cases regarding the Constitutionality of life sentences for juveniles. UPDATE: 5-4 ruling strikes down sentences.

EDIT: I forgot about the super important Montana case that came down today. In a 5-4 decision, Montana cannot restrict corporate spending on elections on first amendment grounds.

I admit, in the craziness for the health care reform case, I haven't even glanced at the Miller/Jackson cases, and they're highly likely to be overlooked by most because of the big guns, but I admit to being anxious and excited about the other three cases. I'm hoping that Alvarez overturns Stolen Valor, that the Court upholds the law in Arizona, and that the entirely of the health care law goes, but the more realistic side of me is expecting the Court to nuke the immigration law and sever the mandate from the rest of the health care law.

Any thoughts as we wait for the Court? I figure this might become an open thread of sorts - I'll try to update the entry as the cases come down.

Further EDIT: Looks like Thursday is Christmas.

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 13:38 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] foreverbeach.livejournal.com
Why Obamacare will be upheld: http://www.redstate.com/steven_willis/2012/03/26/handicapping-health-care/

Why it will not: http://www.forbes.com/sites/peterferrara/2012/04/05/why-the-supreme-court-will-strike-down-all-of-obamacare/2/

My friend Stephan Kinsella writes:
My guess: it will be upheld, and only 2 or 3 will vote to strike down any of it (probably Thomas and Alito, and maybe Roberts; not Scalia, the majoritarian, or Kennedy, the unprincipled waffler). The majority will have to realize that overturning this law will have to have consequences for many existing and possible future federal programs and laws, and they will not want to threaten the underpinnings of their cushy perches.

I do hope I am wrong and that it is overturned. But it is arguably constitutional: the whole thing could be done by a taxing provision, and taxes are sadly constitutional. And the mandate is a tax, whether it's called one or not. And Sheldon Richman has persuaded me that the IC clause is unfortunately broader than we libertarians would like it to be. The problem is all these years libertarians have either pretended, or actually self-deluded themselves, that the Constitution is such a great thing, quasi-libertarian, and that if we only return to it all would be fine. IN order to find a way to argue for incremental changes towards liberty, we say "just restore the Constitution" and in so doing we buy into the myth that the Founding, the Founders, and the Constitution were great and quasi-libertarian.

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 13:51 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] foreverbeach.livejournal.com
My guess is that they'll strike down some parts of Ob-macare but will lay out the blue print for alternate ways of getting the same thing done. Toss bones to both sides. The parts they strike down will probably be the ones getting the most publicity but having the least damage to the infrastructure of the entire program and also will have the easiest workarounds. That's my hunch.

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 14:04 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] meus-ovatio.livejournal.com
I just hope they use the Bible in their decisions!

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 16:45 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sophia-sadek.livejournal.com
I hear that Scalia and Thomas use it in the washroom whenever they run out of t-paper.

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 14:17 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] underlankers.livejournal.com
Yes, I have a prediction: the Court's decisions will become the next phase of political wankery however they're decided and people will treat the decisions all out of proportion to what's actually said for an unholy mixture of political triumphalism and hubris.

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 14:17 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] foreverbeach.livejournal.com
Start updating. A few decisions are out already: http://scotusblog.wpengine.com/

Miller and Jackson, juvenile life without parole cases, have been decided.Justice Kagan wrote the opinion. Vote is 5-4. http://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/11pdf/10-9646g2i8.pdf

Arizona v. US has been decided. The Ninth Circuit is reversed in part and affirmed in part.

The MT campaign finance case, 11-1179, is summarily reversed. The vote is 5-4, the majority opinion (one page long) is per curiam, Justice Breyer writes for the dissenters. http://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/11pdf/11-1179h9j3.pdf

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 14:21 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] foreverbeach.livejournal.com
Miller and Jackson: http://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/11pdf/10-9646g2i8.pdf

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 14:21 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] foreverbeach.livejournal.com
Arizona: http://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/11pdf/11-182b5e1.pdf

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 14:23 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] foreverbeach.livejournal.com
" We do not expect any additional opinions today, so NO health care today."

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 14:25 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] foreverbeach.livejournal.com
They're really milking the health care one. Probably still in negotiations -- auctioning off the ruling to the higher bidder.

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 14:39 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] soliloquy76.livejournal.com
Just got a CNN alert that the healthcare decision won't be announced today.

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 16:22 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kylinrouge.livejournal.com
Not giving juveniles life sentences was only a 5-4 decsion....

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 16:55 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sophia-sadek.livejournal.com
I suppose Thomas and Alito see life without the possibility of parole for juveniles as either not cruel or as quite usual.

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 16:35 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] fizzyland.livejournal.com
Why do you think Thursday is Christmas? What sort of wonderful gifts do you expect from SCOTUS that will make everybody happy?

Gloating over unfettered corporate speech, really?

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 16:43 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] fizzyland.livejournal.com
I'm okay with the mandate being struck down. I don't know why you and the rest of the GOP are so keen to see the rest struck down, but at least you are being consistently anti-progress with that position. Romney's "plan" to replace ACA consists of a whole lot of nothing.

You seem to be suffering a corporations = people error, the First Amendment wasn't written for Halliburton & company.

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 16:45 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sandwichwarrior.livejournal.com
What are Corporations composed of?

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 16:51 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] soliloquy76.livejournal.com
People. But so are buildings. Buildings contain people. Are buildings people? :P
Edited Date: 25/6/12 16:55 (UTC)

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 16:59 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] notmrgarrison.livejournal.com
Buildings are composed of people?
I knew Soylent Green is people, I didn't think buildings were.

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 17:01 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sandwichwarrior.livejournal.com
Buildings are not composed of people they are composed of bricks and mortar (or other materials).

A corporation, by definition, is a group of people. It is not possible to have a corporation that contains no people but it is possible for a building to be empty.

In the end the question you should be asking is "Do groups of people have a different set of rights from individuals?"

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 17:11 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] soliloquy76.livejournal.com
I forgot, it's super srs Monday, not lulz Friday. -__________-

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 19:58 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] underlankers.livejournal.com
Yes, actually, they do and this has long been recognized a a founding principle of the law.
(deleted comment)

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 19:54 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] soliloquy76.livejournal.com
I wasn't being serious. :P

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 19:58 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] underlankers.livejournal.com
Reigning in implies a Union-directed government. I wasn't aware you of all people were a syndicalist. ;P

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 18:18 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dexeron.livejournal.com
Sometimes they are LIVING PUPPETS!

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 18:33 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dwer.livejournal.com
paper.

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 19:57 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] underlankers.livejournal.com
They aren't composed of anything, they're a legal abstraction that's the direct line descendant of the joint-stock companies of the early modern era.

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 22:08 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lafinjack.livejournal.com
Legalese.

(no subject)

Date: 26/6/12 01:17 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] fizzyland.livejournal.com
Corporate structure consists of various departments that contribute to the company's overall mission and goals. Overseen by a Board of Directors.

(no subject)

Date: 26/6/12 04:31 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] fizzyland.livejournal.com
I don't see anything that needs to be "replaced" in the ACA

That's a problem then. Because the American government is already kicking in more per capita than our western counterparts for worse health outcomes. And unlike all of those other countries, we have a huge number of uninsured people who run up emergency room debt, leading to more bankruptcies and government bailouts. Romney's solution for any of these problems? *crickets*

Besides, when has limiting speech ever helped?

Corporate Personhood has long since left the barn and even if Citizens United was overturned, the problems would remain. SuperPACs would still be operating. At the same time, you cheering on this whole 'money=speech' bandwagon is bizarre.

(no subject)

Date: 26/6/12 16:58 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] fizzyland.livejournal.com
Which part of my claims do you disagree with?

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 16:47 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sophia-sadek.livejournal.com
Making money more important than citizenship seems to be the trend.

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 17:30 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kylinrouge.livejournal.com
This isn't ONTD, just ignore weird opinions you don't agree with.

#JokeReply

(no subject)

Date: 26/6/12 04:38 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] fizzyland.livejournal.com
If there's one thing I've learned, is that the only way to fight hate is with more hate!

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 19:06 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] oportet.livejournal.com
I guess it would be weird to personally disagree with a decision but still think it was the right one - but that's how I feel on Miller.

The Arizona ruling seemed predictable, but that's easy to say when it's over.

Waiting until the last day to give an answer on health care? Sounds like something you would do when you know you're gonna piss the boss off. I'm probably way off there but if I nail it we can all revisit this and recognize me for the genius that I am.

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 19:37 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] notmrgarrison.livejournal.com
You really did go out on a limb with the healthcare predication in your post.

(no subject)

Date: 25/6/12 19:37 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sandwichwarrior.livejournal.com

Waiting until the last day to give an answer on health care? Sounds like something you would do when you know you're gonna piss the boss off.


That thought had occured to me as well.

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