ext_36450 (
underlankers.livejournal.com) wrote in
talkpolitics2014-03-01 09:21 am
![[identity profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/openid.png)
![[community profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/community.png)
Entry tags:
Now the Long Knives are poised right in the back of Ukraine:
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26400035
Fucking brilliant approach, this. First the attempt to play divide and conquer in Ukraine pretty transparently crashed and burned with the retun of Ukraine's Benazir Bhutto to political influence. Then, the Russians decide evidently that they really did move in Russian Army soldiers into the Crimea. Because the proper instinct when a risky gamble fails is to raise the stakes. This is not going to end well by any means. Now I'm wondering how long Lucashenko will have a country to rule as dictator, and what might happen with Round II with Georgia. If Tsar Vladimir I of the House of Putin succeeds in this kind of thing, that will only encourage him to expand his wars of aggression further because Ukraine is rather larger than Georgia, and this would permit Russia to begin aspiring to regain aspects of the old Tsarist boundaries. I sincerely expected Russia would use Central Asia for this kind of thing, not Ukraine.
The EU wouldn't give a damn about invading Muslims in Kazakhstan, but invading an EU state? That's not going to lead Russia to do anything but decide to engage in still-larger wars of aggression in the long term.
http://www.cnn.com/2014/03/01/world/europe/ukraine-politics/
And one of the chambers of the Russian legislature just approved this request. Hoo, boy.
Shit got real-er:
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26403996
The Ukrainian Army is now on full combat alert. The prospect that the centennial year of the First World War will see the first large-scale conventional European war in decades has risen exponentially.
Fucking brilliant approach, this. First the attempt to play divide and conquer in Ukraine pretty transparently crashed and burned with the retun of Ukraine's Benazir Bhutto to political influence. Then, the Russians decide evidently that they really did move in Russian Army soldiers into the Crimea. Because the proper instinct when a risky gamble fails is to raise the stakes. This is not going to end well by any means. Now I'm wondering how long Lucashenko will have a country to rule as dictator, and what might happen with Round II with Georgia. If Tsar Vladimir I of the House of Putin succeeds in this kind of thing, that will only encourage him to expand his wars of aggression further because Ukraine is rather larger than Georgia, and this would permit Russia to begin aspiring to regain aspects of the old Tsarist boundaries. I sincerely expected Russia would use Central Asia for this kind of thing, not Ukraine.
The EU wouldn't give a damn about invading Muslims in Kazakhstan, but invading an EU state? That's not going to lead Russia to do anything but decide to engage in still-larger wars of aggression in the long term.
http://www.cnn.com/2014/03/01/world/europe/ukraine-politics/
And one of the chambers of the Russian legislature just approved this request. Hoo, boy.
Shit got real-er:
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26403996
The Ukrainian Army is now on full combat alert. The prospect that the centennial year of the First World War will see the first large-scale conventional European war in decades has risen exponentially.
no subject
...and you're still dodging.
no subject
no subject
ETA:
...and you're still dodging.
Fact remains that despite being a bit busted up the US still has options when it comes to slinging our weight around in the wider world. Meanwhile France is having trouble with rebels who are less than 6 hours outside Paris as the
C-130A-400 flies.no subject
no subject
It only took months because of the the diplomatic front dragging along, the military and policy makers implementation of new technology systems in the Middle East and the concern over a perceived Vietnam Syndrome.
2014's US military isn't that same one from 1991. I'm concerned that you weren't aware of this.
no subject
no subject
Secondly, I don't think you really understand the sort of logistical capability that US military actually has, or how unique that capability is.
no subject