ext_36450 ([identity profile] underlankers.livejournal.com) wrote in [community profile] talkpolitics2014-03-01 09:21 am

Now the Long Knives are poised right in the back of Ukraine:

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26400035

Fucking brilliant approach, this. First the attempt to play divide and conquer in Ukraine pretty transparently crashed and burned with the retun of Ukraine's Benazir Bhutto to political influence. Then, the Russians decide evidently that they really did move in Russian Army soldiers into the Crimea. Because the proper instinct when a risky gamble fails is to raise the stakes. This is not going to end well by any means. Now I'm wondering how long Lucashenko will have a country to rule as dictator, and what might happen with Round II with Georgia. If Tsar Vladimir I of the House of Putin succeeds in this kind of thing, that will only encourage him to expand his wars of aggression further because Ukraine is rather larger than Georgia, and this would permit Russia to begin aspiring to regain aspects of the old Tsarist boundaries. I sincerely expected Russia would use Central Asia for this kind of thing, not Ukraine.

The EU wouldn't give a damn about invading Muslims in Kazakhstan, but invading an EU state? That's not going to lead Russia to do anything but decide to engage in still-larger wars of aggression in the long term.

http://www.cnn.com/2014/03/01/world/europe/ukraine-politics/

And one of the chambers of the Russian legislature just approved this request. Hoo, boy.

Shit got real-er:

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26403996

The Ukrainian Army is now on full combat alert. The prospect that the centennial year of the First World War will see the first large-scale conventional European war in decades has risen exponentially.

[identity profile] 404.livejournal.com 2014-03-02 01:51 am (UTC)(link)
A few air planes and less than 5000 troops can be effective against militias, try that against the Russian army.

(frozen comment)

[identity profile] 404.livejournal.com 2014-03-02 01:56 am (UTC)(link)
Stay focused if you can.

So you think Mali is located on the Mediterranean? Definitely from another universe where geography is concerned.


Get back to me when the French can beat back more than a few militias,

[identity profile] 404.livejournal.com 2014-03-02 02:14 am (UTC)(link)
The geography of France to Mali and say... France to Russia is pointless and a waste of time. The point still stands that France is not able to project its military the same way the US or Russia can. Quibble and hand waive the rest away, as you do, but see how France would do against a real army, regardless of how much time they had to plan, seeing that that is part of the army's job. Armies are SUPPOSED to be combat ready when called on, not after waiting to get things ready. This isn't WWI and France doesn't have time to implement Plan XVII.

[identity profile] 404.livejournal.com 2014-03-02 02:21 am (UTC)(link)
I think all this is more that you have a beef with [livejournal.com profile] sandwichwarrior and use a minor error to try to prove some bigger point about him. It's silly.

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[identity profile] luzribeiro.livejournal.com 2014-03-02 07:39 am (UTC)(link)
Do you ever tire of whiteknighting?

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[identity profile] 404.livejournal.com 2014-03-02 09:59 pm (UTC)(link)
Do you ever tire of tossing around baseless tropes?

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[identity profile] mahnmut.livejournal.com 2014-03-02 10:07 pm (UTC)(link)
Next up: the cards start flowing.

You've both been previously warned (http://talk-politics.livejournal.com/1802054.html?thread=143790406#t143790406).

(frozen comment)

[identity profile] mahnmut.livejournal.com 2014-03-02 10:08 pm (UTC)(link)
Same (http://talk-politics.livejournal.com/1831445.html?thread=145119509#t145119509) to you.

[identity profile] fizzyland.livejournal.com 2014-03-02 05:30 am (UTC)(link)
Get back to me when the French can beat back more than a few militias

You realize they have nuclear weapons, right?

[identity profile] mahnmut.livejournal.com 2014-03-02 07:40 am (UTC)(link)
Hey, hoa, is someone getting nuked?

[identity profile] 404.livejournal.com 2014-03-02 10:00 pm (UTC)(link)
Do you seriously think the French would use them?

(frozen comment)

[identity profile] mahnmut.livejournal.com 2014-03-02 07:41 am (UTC)(link)
Stay within the rules if YOU can. For a change, you know.

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[identity profile] 404.livejournal.com 2014-03-02 10:03 pm (UTC)(link)
Trying to encourage UL to stay focused, and not veer wildly off topic, is a good thing.

(frozen comment)

[identity profile] mahnmut.livejournal.com 2014-03-02 10:04 pm (UTC)(link)
Doing it without all the disruptive drive-by ad hominems that have become so typical of you, is not only preferable, in your case it's strongly recommendable.