ext_97971 (
enders-shadow.livejournal.com) wrote in
talkpolitics2012-10-19 11:15 pm
![[identity profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/openid.png)
![[community profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/community.png)
Entry tags:
Elizabeth Warren is going to win
That's my prediction.
Wanna see why?
Polls Date Dem Rep Margin
PPP 10/16 53.0 44.0 Warren +9.0
PPP 10/11 50.0 44.0 Warren +6.0
YouGov 10/11 46.0 39.0 Warren +7.0
Rasmussen 10/10 49.0 47.0 Warren +2.0
YouGov 10/8 48.0 45.0 Warren +3.0
Courtesy of Nate Silver's 538 blog.
- http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
I think this is a result of how Scott Brown was elected in the first place. His democratic opponent was so bad that democrats stayed home or flipped for one election. Elizabeth Warren is an icon for the left--Dems aren't going to stay home in November in Mass, nor will they be splitting their tickets, not in the numbers Scott Brown would need, it seems.
But hey, I'm going off some raw numbers posted on the internet. Maybe you, myfilthy assistants co-denizens of the internet city, will provide some insight on what you think is gonna happen in the Elizabeth Warren vs Scott Brown race.
Can I/you/we make a tag: "predictions" and then we have a follow up tag "predictions false/correct" ?
Wanna see why?
Polls Date Dem Rep Margin
PPP 10/16 53.0 44.0 Warren +9.0
PPP 10/11 50.0 44.0 Warren +6.0
YouGov 10/11 46.0 39.0 Warren +7.0
Rasmussen 10/10 49.0 47.0 Warren +2.0
YouGov 10/8 48.0 45.0 Warren +3.0
Courtesy of Nate Silver's 538 blog.
- http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
I think this is a result of how Scott Brown was elected in the first place. His democratic opponent was so bad that democrats stayed home or flipped for one election. Elizabeth Warren is an icon for the left--Dems aren't going to stay home in November in Mass, nor will they be splitting their tickets, not in the numbers Scott Brown would need, it seems.
But hey, I'm going off some raw numbers posted on the internet. Maybe you, my
Can I/you/we make a tag: "predictions" and then we have a follow up tag "predictions false/correct" ?
no subject