ext_36450 ([identity profile] underlankers.livejournal.com) wrote in [community profile] talkpolitics 2010-11-29 10:09 pm (UTC)

No, what happened was that Benedict Arnold won a victory at Saratoga that convinced the French King he could get revenge for the Seven Year's War by propping up the Continental Army. Even with French aid Washington avoided pitched battles for the good and simple reason that he couldn't afford to lose one as with it went the Revolution.

The thing is that the Confederacy's cotton embargo willfully removed one of their key aces in the hole due to sheer hubris on the part of the Confederacy's leaders. That coupled with the Confederacy's string of strategic defeats at the hands of one Ulysses S. Grant, a real-life http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/MaryTzu if ever there was one. Essentially Grant won every single strategic victory for the Union, while the Confederates never won any strategic or tactical victories in the West except Perryville (strategically meaningless) and Chickamauga (due to one of Rosecrans' rare mistakes in the war).

The Confederacy's leaders in 1860 also faced the elephant in the room that the 1/3 of their population that knew Confederate victory meant slavery and believed fully Confederate fearmongering about Lincoln were hardly likely to just let the Confederates win unchallenged. That they didn't was the biggest reason the Union had a switcheroo on whether or not emancipation was constitutional.

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