> We see the failures of the Romney GOTV and the successes of the Obama GOTV in the face of declining voter share.
Declining voter share would point to an inferior GOTV effort, all other things being equal. GOTV efforts must be interacting with other variables.
> It's pretty cut and dry - "voter suppression" isn't cited in the exit polls
Is Obama's GOTV effort sited in exit polls?
> but you're only providing theoreticals to counter the factual nature of the good versus bad campaigns > we've seen over the last few cycles.
The presumption that Obama won over Romney because of his superior GOTV effort is also a 'theoretical.' It also happens to be a theoretical that specifically allows Conservatives to explain the election loss with minimal soul searching, and is thus, deeply convenient.
Republicans have now lost 5 out of 6 of the last 6 presidential popular votes, If this is always because of bad campaigning, then we have to ask ourselves, what is it about the Republican Presidential process since 1988 that inevitably leads to bad campaigns?
Nothing Gets Out The Vote like agreeing with one candidate more than the other. Obama's most powerful GOTV tool is having policies more popular than Republicans.
no subject
Declining voter share would point to an inferior GOTV effort, all other things being equal. GOTV efforts must be interacting with other variables.
> It's pretty cut and dry - "voter suppression" isn't cited in the exit polls
Is Obama's GOTV effort sited in exit polls?
> but you're only providing theoreticals to counter the factual nature of the good versus bad campaigns
> we've seen over the last few cycles.
The presumption that Obama won over Romney because of his superior GOTV effort is also a 'theoretical.' It also happens to be a theoretical that specifically allows Conservatives to explain the election loss with minimal soul searching, and is thus, deeply convenient.
Republicans have now lost 5 out of 6 of the last 6 presidential popular votes, If this is always because of bad campaigning, then we have to ask ourselves, what is it about the Republican Presidential process since 1988 that inevitably leads to bad campaigns?
Nothing Gets Out The Vote like agreeing with one candidate more than the other. Obama's most powerful GOTV tool is having policies more popular than Republicans.